Support Research indicates that 90 percent of extreme insomniacs consume large amounts of coffee. █████ ███ ██████ █ ███ ██ ███████ ██ ██ █████ ██████ ████ ██ ██ ██ ███████ ██████████
The author concludes that it’s likely Tom is an extreme insomniac. This is based on the fact that 90 percent of extreme insomniacs drink lots of coffee, and Tom drinks lots of coffee.
The author misinterprets the claim “Most A are B” as “Most B are A.” Although 90 percent of extreme insomniacs drink lots of coffee, that doesn’t tell us anything about what proportion of lots-of-coffee drinkers are extreme insomniacs. It could be that the vast majority of lots-of-coffee drinkers aren’t extreme insomniacs, even if most extreme insomniacs drink lots of coffee.
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