The folktale that claims that a rattlesnake's age can be determined from the number of sections in its rattle is false, but only because the rattles are brittle and sometimes partially or completely break off. ██ ██ ████ ████ ███ ██ ████████ ███ █████ ████████ █████████ █ █████████████ ███ ██████ ████ ███ ██████ ██ ████████ ██ ███ ███████ ███████ ███ ███ ███████ ██ ██████ ████ ████ █ ███████████ ██████
The author starts by telling us that the folktale about determining a rattlesnake's age from its rattle sections is false. But she says it's false only because rattles are brittle and can break off.
From there, the author concludes that if rattles weren't brittle, you could reliably determine a rattlesnake's age just by counting rattle sections. The reason? Each time a rattlesnake molts, it gains one new section.
So the logic is: molting adds sections, and if those sections never broke off, you could count them and figure out the snake's age.
The premise tells us that each molt adds one section. That means counting sections tells you how many times a snake has molted. But the conclusion goes further: it says you could determine the snake's age from those sections. That's a leap. The author is treating number of molts as a reliable indicator of age. But is it?
For the method to work, molting has to track age in some predictable way. It doesn't have to be exactly once per year. It could be twice per year, or three times every two years. As long as the rate is consistent, you can work backwards from the section count to figure out the snake's age.
So the author must assume that molting happens at a predictable, age-correlated rate. She must also assume that, brittleness aside, nothing other than molting can change the number of sections in a rattle. If some other factor could add or remove sections, the count wouldn't reflect molts alone, and the whole method would break down for a different reason.
Analysis by Kevin_Lin
Which one of the following ██ ██ ██████████ ███ ████████ ████████ ██ █████ ███ ███ ██████████ ██ ██ ████████ ██████
Rattlesnakes molt exactly ████ █ █████
The rattles of ████████████ ██ █████████ ███████ ███ █████████ ██ ███████████
Rattlesnakes molt more ██████████ ████ █████ ████ ████ ████
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Rattlesnakes molt as █████ ████ ████ ██ ██████ ██ ████ ██ ████ ████ ██ ██████████