The coach of the Eagles used a computer analysis to determine the best combinations of players for games. βββ ββββββββ ββββββββ ββββ βββ ββββ βββ ββββ ββββ ββββ ββββββββ βββ βββ ββββββββ ββββββββ ββ ββββββββ βββ ββββββ ββ ββββββββ ββββ ββββββββββββ ββββ ββββ ββ βββββββββββ ββ βββββββββ βββ ββ ββββ ββββ ββ ββββββββ ββββ ββββββββββ ββββββββ ββ βββ ββββ ββββ ββββββ ββββ βββ ββββββ ββββ ββββ
The author concludes that Jenniferβs presence in the game will ensure that the Eagles (Jenniferβs team) will win. This is based on computer analysis showing that in every game that the team has lost, Jennifer was not playing.
Although the premises establish that in all prior games, whenever Jennifer was in, the team didnβt lose (this is the contrapositive of βTeam lost only when J wasnβt playingβ), that doesnβt imply that this relationship must continue to be true for future games. In other words, whatβs true about the past doesnβt have to be true about the future.
Thereβs also an assumption that in the games that the team didnβt lose, the team actually won (as opposed to having the game end in a tie).
The argument above is most ββββββββββ ββ βββββββββ ββ βββ βββββββ ββββ ββ
infers from the ββββ ββββ β βββββββ ββββββ ββ ββββββββββ βββ β ββββββ ββββ βββ βββββββ ββ ββββ ββββββ ββ βββββββββ βββ βββ ββββββββ ββββββ
presumes, without providing ββββββββββββββ ββββ β ββββββββ ββββββββββββ ββ β ββββββ βββ ββ ββββ βββ ββ ββββββββ ββββββββββ βββ ββββββββ ββ ββββββββ
draws conclusions about ββββββββββββ ββ ββββββββ ββββββββ ββ ββββββ ββββ βββ ββββββββ ββ β ββββββ ββββ
presumes, without providing ββββββββββββββ ββββ βββββββββββ ββββ ββββ βββββββββ ββ βββ ββββ ββββ ββββββββ ββ ββββββββ
draws a conclusion βββββ βββ βββββ ββ ββββββββ ββββββββ ββββ β ββββ ββ βββββ ββββββββ ββββββββ ββββββββ ββ βββββ ββββββ ββββ βββ βββββββ βββββ