Self-study
Conclusion The coming economic recovery will surely be strong. ████ ██ ███ ██████████ ██ ██████████ █████████ ███ █████ ████ ████ ██ ███ ██████ ███ ███████ ████████ ██████████ █████ █████ ██████████ █████ ███ ██████████ ████████████ ██████████ ███ ███████ █████ ████ ████ ████ ████ ██████████ ███████ ████████ ██████████ ████ ████████ ███████ ██ █████████ █████ █████ ██ ████ ███ ██████████ ████████████ ██████████ ████ ██████████
Appeal to Authority
The author concludes that when the economy recovers, it will be a strong recovery—even though academic economists think otherwise. So what supports this conclusion? Well, most investment economists think the recovery will be strong. And the author believes investment economists are more reliable: unlike the academic economists, the investment economists' jobs might be at risk depending on their predictions.
The author's claim about the strength of the coming economic recovery rests on assuming that the predictions of investment economists are more likely to be correct, solely based on the fact that their jobs might be at risk. The author doesn't rely on any direct evidence, but simply decides which authority to believe. And this also makes the argument vulnerable, if those experts happen to be not so reliable after all.
6.
The main conclusion of the ████████ ██ █████████ ████
a
by comparing the ██████ ██ ███████ ███ █████ ████ ███ ██████████ ████ ███ ██████ ███ ████████ ████ ███ ██████████
The author isn't concerned with the number of academic versus investment economists, but with their reliability.
b
through an assessment ██ ███ ██████ █████ ███ ████████████ ██ █████████ ███ ██ ███████ ██████ ██ ██████ ███████
The author doesn't consider the risks or consequences to the author of believing in one group of economists versus the other, as (B) suggests. Instead, the author's assessment of the economists' reliability is based on the potential risks to those economists of making poor forecasts.
c
through projection from ███ ████████ █████████ ███ ██████████ █████████ ██ ███ ████████ █████████ ███ ███ ███████ ██ █ █████
The author doesn't consider projections of the economic forecast for investment companies, or any other type of direct evidence. The author only relies on determining which economists are more reliable, and then believing those economists.
d
through an assessment ██ ███ ████████ ███████████ ██ ███ ███████ ███ █████ ████ ███ ██████████ ██ ████████ ████ ████ ██ █████ ███ ████████
The author's conclusion is supported only by the opinions of investment economists, who the author believes are more reliable than academic economists because of the risks investment economists take in making predictions. The author's only support is assessing these experts' relative reliability, then believing the ones judged more reliable.
e
by attacking the █████████ ██ █████ ███████ ███ ████████ ████ ███ ██████████
The author doesn't attack the character of academic economists or anyone else. The author just considers what possible risks each group of economists might face when making predictions.