PT7.S1.Q15

PrepTest 7 - Section 1 - Question 15

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Eight years ago hunting was banned in Greenfield County on the grounds that hunting endangers public safety. ███ ███ ████ ██████████ ██ ███ ██████ ██ ███ █████ ████ ██ ███ ██████ ███ ████ ████ ███ ████████ ███████████ ██████ ████████ ████████ ███ ███████ █████ ███████ █████████ ████ ██████ ██ ███████ ██████ ██ ██████████ █████ █████ ████ █████ ███ ███████████████ ████████ ██ ███ ███████ ███████ ███ ███ ███ ███ ████ ███████████ ███ ███ ███████ █ ██████ ██ ██████ ██████ ████ █████ ███ █████████ ██████

Argument Breakdown: Phenomenon-Hypothesis

The argument concludes that a hunting ban put in place in Greenfield County eight years ago was unnecessary to promote public safety, and also created a new threat to public safety. This threat is the large deer population, which we learn has expanded to six times its pre-ban size. To support the deer being a threat, the argument says that the deer are causing property damage and car accidents that injure motorists. To support the ban being unnecessary, the argument points out that the county had no hunting-related injuries before the ban.

We're looking at a causal argument using phenomenon-hypothesis reasoning. The argument observes the phenomenon of deer overpopulation, and puts forward the hypothesis that this was caused by the hunting ban, leading to deer-related public safety issues. The other prong of this argument is the observation that there were no previous hunting-related injuries, supporting a hypothesis that hunting was not a public safety threat.

Objective: Strengthen

Since we're dealing with a phenomenon-hypothesis argument with two separate branches, we can aim to strengthen either hypothesis: that the ban caused the deer overpopulation, or that hunting wasn't a threat. Either of these causal claims can be strengthened by finding corroborating evidence, or by ruling out an alternative explanation.

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15.

Which one of the following, ██ █████ ████████ ███ █████████ ██████████ ███████ ███ ███ ██████████ ██████

a

In surrounding counties, █████ ███████ ██ ██████████ ███ ████ ██ ███ ████ ██████████ ███ ███ █████████ ██ ███ ████ █████ ██████

(A) gives us evidence to corroborate the hypothesis that the hunting ban caused the deer overpopulation. We can expect surrounding counties to have pretty similar conditions to Greenfield County. If the main difference is the hunting ban, then it strengthens the argument that the ban really caused the deer-related issues.

74%
b

Motor vehicle accidents █████████ ████ █████ ██████ ██ ██████ ██ ███ ████████ ██████ ██ ███ █████████ ██ █████

The issue with (B) is that it repeats information from the stimulus. The argument already tells us deer cause car crashes that injure motorists. Since we know that's specifically true in Greenfield County, it doesn't strengthen the argument to say it just often happens in general.

21%
c

When deer populations ████████ ██████ ███████ █████ ███████ ███ ████████████ ██████ ████ ██████████ █████ ███ ████ ██████

The argument is concerned with public safety, not with the health of the deer population. Even if we knew that the Greenfield County herd had expanded beyond its optimal size, (C) wouldn't be relevant to the public safety issue.

2%
d

In residential areas ██ ███ ███████ ████ █████████ ███████ ████ ███ ████ ███ █████

(D) could actually give us an alternative explanation for why deer are causing problems: it's not the overpopulation, it's that people are attracting them into residential areas. But this weakens the causal argument, it doesn't strengthen.

0%
e

Deer can cause █████████ ██████ ██ ██████████ ██████ ███ █████ ██ ███████ ██ █████ ███ █████████

We already know that deer are causing property damage in Greenfield County. Giving us more detail about that damage doesn't strengthen the argument.

2%

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