PT146.S1.Q16

PrepTest 146 - Section 1 - Question 16

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In most of this forest, the expected outbreak of tree-eating tussock moths should not be countered. After all, the moth is beneficial where suppression of forest fires, for example, has left the forest unnaturally crowded with immature trees, and _______.

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16.

The conclusion of the argument is most strongly supported if which one of the following completes the passage?

a

more than half of the forest is unnaturally crowded with immature trees

This strengthens by affirming the author’s assumption that the beneficial effects of the moth will affect most of the forest, since the problem of overcrowding that the tree-eating moths can help solve does affect more than half the forest.

b

mature trees are usually the first to be eaten by tussock moths

This weakens by undermining the author’s assumption that the benefits of the moths will outweigh any detrimental effects. Moths that prefer mature trees would do more harm by eating the healthy, mature trees of the forest than benefit by eating the overcrowded, immature trees.

c

usually a higher proportion of mature trees than of immature ones are destroyed in forest fires

This is irrelevant. First, the author has already established that a lack of forest fires still results in overcrowding of immature trees. Second, we don’t care what forest fires do—that’s just not what the argument is about, and we don’t know if this forest even had a fire.

d

the expected outbreak of tussock moths will almost certainly occur if no attempt is made to counter it

This is irrelevant, since we already know that not countering the outbreak will result in the outbreak occurring—we care about whether or not that’s a good thing.

e

there are no completely effective countermeasures against the moth

This is irrelevant to the author’s argument that the outbreak should not be countered in any way in most of the forest, regardless of whether fully effective countermeasures exist or not.

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