PT157.S3.Q16

PrepTest 157 - Section 3 - Question 16

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Future overall demand for professors can be predicted with reasonable accuracy from current birth rates. ███ ███ ████████ ██ ███████████ ██ ██████ ██████ ███ █████ ██████████ ██ ██████ ███ ████ ███ ████ ███████ ██████████ █████ ██████

Summary

Current birth rates can be used to predict future demand for professors overall, with reasonable accuracy. However, accuracy is lower when predicting future demand for music professors. Accuracy is even lower when predicting future demand for jazz studies professors.

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16.

The situation described above best ███████████ █████ ███ ██ ███ █████████ ███████████

a

The more detailed ███ ████████ ███ █████████ ███ ████ ███████ ███████████ █████ ██ ████ ████████ ████

This answer is unsupported. In the stimulus all three predictions are based on the same data of birth rates, and yet all three predictions have different levels of accuracy.

4%
b

The more general ███ █████ ██ █ ███████████ ███ ████ ████████ ██ ███

This answer is strongly supported. This correlation is demonstrated in the stimulus. The most general prediction, of demand for professors overall, was the most accurate. The least general prediction, for jazz studies professors specifically, was the least accurate.

74%
c

Predicting future trends ███████ ████ █████████ ██ ███ ██████ █████ ███████████ ███████ ██████ ████ ██████████ ███████

This answer is unsupported. It's reasonable to assume that all three predictions in the stimulus concern the same time frame. So nothing in the stimulus addresses the issue of differing temporal remoteness.

10%
d

The more detailed ███ ████████ ███ █████████ ███ ████ ██████████ ██ ███ ████ ██ ███████████ █████ ██ ████ █████████

This answer is unsupported. In the stimulus, all three predictions are based on the same data of birth rates. However, the accuracy of these three predictions still differs, so evidence isn't a relevant factor.

3%
e

Predictions based only ██ ███████ ██████ ███ ████████ ██ ██ █████████

This answer is unsupported. The predictions in the stimulus are all based on current birth rates. It's unclear whether birth rates are a "general trend," and even if so, at least one prediction made on that basis is fairly accurate.

8%

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