PT152.S4.Q15

PrepTest 152 - Section 4 - Question 15

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Commentator: The reported epidemic of childhood obesity in our country is a myth. ████ ███ ████ █ ██████ █████ ███ ████ █ █ █████ █████ █████████ ████████ ██ ██████████ ███████ ███████ ████ ██ ███ █ ███████████ █████████ ██ ███ ██████████ ██ ████████ ███ ███ █████ ██████ ████ █████████ ██████████████

Method of Reasoning

The argument proceeds by citing a statistical average to support a conclusion about how the increases are distributed across individuals. Because the average weight of a child has only increased slightly, the commentator concludes that there must not be a substantial increase in the percentage of children who are obese.

Identify and Describe Flaw

The commentator assumes that a small change in average weight means there hasn’t been a big increase in the percentage of children who are obese. However, this represents a misunderstanding of how averages work: a small change in the statistical average does not necessarily reflect how weight changes are distributed across individuals. Even if the average weight only goes up a little, the proportion of obese children could still increase a lot.

For example, if 1% of children were obese before and now 3% are, then the proportion of obese kids tripled—even if the average weight barely changed. Or what if 15% children became obese, while the remaining 85% lost weight? That could balance out to only a small average increase, despite a large increase in obesity.

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15.

Which one of the following ████████ ██████ █████████ ████ ███████ ██ ███ ██████ █████████ █████████ ██ ███ ████████ ██████

a

The average summer ███████████ ████ ███ ████ ████ █████ ████ ████ ██████████ █████ ████ ██████ ███████ ████ ███████ ███ ███████ ███████

b

The proportion of █████████ ███ ████ ████ ████ ████████ ████ ███ ████ █████████ ████ ████ ████████ ████ ███ ████ █████ █████ ███ ███████ ██████ ███ █████████ ████ ████████ ████ ████ █████

c

The proportion of █████████ █████████ ██ ███ ████████ ████ ████ ████ █████████ █████████████ ██ ██████ ██████ █████ █ ███████████ ██████ ██ ██████ █████████ ████ ████ █████████ ██ █████████ █████████ ██████ ████ █████

d

The average weight ██ ██████ ████ ████ █████████ ██ ███ ████ ███ ██████ █████ ███████████ ████ █████████ ███ ██████████ ██ ████████████ ██████ ██ █████ █████ ██ ██████ ██████

e

The average price ██ █ █████ ████ ██ ███████████ █████ ███ ██████████ ██ █████████ ██████ █████ ██ ███████ ███ █████████ ████ ███ ████ █████ ██████

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