Doctor: Angiotensinogen is a protein in human blood. ββββββββββ βββ ββββββ β ββββββββ βββββββββββββββ ββββββ ββββ βββ ββββββ ββββ ββββββββ βββββ ββββββββ βββ βββββββ β βββββββ ββββββ ββ ββββββββ ββ βββββββββββββββ βββββββ ββββββββββ βββββββ β ββββ ββ β βββββ ββ ββββ βββββ βββββββββ
The doctor hypothesizes that disease X causes high blood pressure, because it typically increases angiotensinogen levels, which are linked to higher blood pressure.
This is the cookie-cutter flaw of assuming that correlation proves causation. The doctor shows that disease X usually causes higher angiotensinogen levels and that higher angiotensinogen levels are correlated with higher blood pressure. She then jumps to the conclusion that disease X causes high blood pressure. To do this, she must assume that higher angiotensinogen levels actually cause high blood pressure. However, itβs possible that high blood pressure causes higher angiotensinogen levels, or that another factor like smoking or genetics causes both.
The doctor's argument is most ββββββββββ ββ βββββββββ ββ βββββ βββ ββ βββ βββββββββ ββββββββ
It confuses a βββββββββ βββββββββ βββ β ββββββββββ ββββββββββ
This is the cookie-cutter flaw of confusing necessary and sufficient conditions. The doctor doesnβt make this mistake; her argument relies on causal logic, not conditional logic.
It overlooks the βββββββββββ ββββ ββββ ββ β βββββββββ ββββββββ βββββββββββ ββ β βββββ βββββββ βββββ βββββββ βββ βββββ ββββββββββ ββββ ββββββ ββ βββ ββββββββ ββ ββββ ββββββββββ
The doctorβs argument is flawed because she assumes that angiotensinogen levels cause high blood pressure, not because she overlooks other factors that might counteract the effects of disease X.
It illicitly infers, ββββββ ββ βββ βββββ ββ βββ βββββββββ βββββ βββββββββββ ββββ βββ ββββββββ βββββββββββ ββ βββ ββββββ
In order to conclude that disease X causes high blood pressure by raising angiotensinogen levels, the doctor must assume that high angiotensinogen levels cause high blood pressure. However, her argument only establishes that the two are correlated.
It confuses one ββββββββββββ βββββββ β ββββββ ββββ βββ ββββββ ββββββββββββ βββββββ βββ ββββββ
The only proven causal connection in the argument is that disease X usually causes higher angiotensinogen levels. The doctor doesnβt confuse this by saying that higher angiotensinogen levels cause disease X. Instead, she assumes that they cause high blood pressure.
It takes for βββββββ ββββ ββ βββ ββββββββββ βββββ ββββββ β ββββββ ββββββββββ βββ ββββ ββββββ ββββββββββ βββββ ββββββ β βββββ βββββββββββ ββββ βββ βββββ ββββββββββ ββββββ ββββ ββ βββ βββββββββ βββββ ββ βββ ββββββ
This is descriptively inaccurate. The doctor says one phenomenon (disease X) causes a second phenomenon (higher angiotensinogen) and assumes that higher angiotensinogen causes high blood pressure. She then concludes that disease X is the immediate cause of high blood pressure.