"more likely" = correlation or causation?

Laabradir33Laabradir33 Alum Member
edited June 2017 in Logical Reasoning 161 karma

This whole time I thought "more likely" = strictly correlation because it means the same as "tend to" which is also correlation, but it seems like it can be used as causation as well according to the more recent PTs.

Comments

  • TheLSATTheLSAT Member
    301 karma

    It depends on the context. Advanced causal statements can be probabilistic, partial, or multipilistic in nature.

  • BirdLaw818BirdLaw818 Free Trial Member
    553 karma

    Like A is more likely to happen if B happens? It's at best a partial causation. More likely is never indicative of full causation because the event was already likely.

  • Daniel.SieradzkiDaniel.Sieradzki Member Sage ⭐
    edited June 2017 2301 karma

    Yeah, I think it would depend on context.

    Correlation Example: "A is more likely to happen if B occurs. This is because B only appears when C appears. C directly increases the likelihood of A occurring." In this example, C is what is actually causing A and B to appear. However, because B only appears when C appears, the appearance of B means that A will likely appear (because C causes A). Thus, A and B are only correlated.

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