LSAT 123 – Section 2 – Question 21

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Type Tags Answer
Choices
Curve Question
Difficulty
Psg/Game/S
Difficulty
Explanation
PT123 S2 Q21
+LR
Flaw or descriptive weakening +Flaw
Causal Reasoning +CausR
A
56%
154
B
1%
141
C
17%
147
D
25%
149
E
1%
140
139
150
160
+Medium 143.659 +SubsectionEasier

Driver: My friends say I will one day have an accident because I drive my sports car recklessly. But I have done some research, and apparently minivans and larger sedans have very low accident rates compared to sports cars. So trading my sports car in for a minivan would lower my risk of having an accident.

A
infers a cause from a mere correlation
The driver infers a cause— that trading his sports car for a minivan will cause him to have a lower chance of getting in an accident— from a mere correlation— that minivans have lower accident rates than sports cars.
B
relies on a sample that is too narrow
This is the cookie-cutter flaw of using an unrepresentative sample. The driver doesn’t mention any samples at all.
C
misinterprets evidence that a result is likely as evidence that the result is certain
The driver says switching to a minivan will lower his accident risk, not eliminate it. Also, his research never shows that a result is likely. It shows that minivans have lower accident rates overall, not that an individual driver is likely to have fewer accidents in a minivan.
D
mistakes a condition sufficient for bringing about a result for a condition necessary for doing so
This is the cookie-cutter flaw of confusing sufficiency and necessity. The driver doesn’t make this mistake. He mistakenly assumes that driving a minivan is sufficient for lowering his chance of getting into an accident, but he never confuses this for a necessary condition.
E
relies on a source that is probably not well-informed
The driver relies on his research about the accident rates of minivans, large sedans, and sports cars. We can’t assume that this research is probably not well-informed.

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