Scientist: Given the human tendency to explore and colonize new areas, some people believe that the galaxy will eventually be colonized by trillions of humans. ββ βββ βββ ββββ ββββββββ ββ ββββββ ββββ ββ ββββ βββββ ββ βββββ ββββββ ββββ ββββββ ββ βββββββββββββ βββββ βββ ββ ββ βββ ββββββ βββ ββ ββββ ββ ββββββ ββ βββββ ββ βββ βββββββββββββββββ βββ ββββ βββ ββββββββββββ ββββ ββ βββββ ββ βββββ ββββββ ββββ βββββββ ββββ ββββ βββββββ ββ βββ βββ βββββ ββββββ ββββ βββββββ βββ ββββ βββ ββββ ββββ ββββ ββββββββββββ ββββ ββββ βββββββ
Itβs unlikely that humans will ever colonize the galaxy. Why? Because if humans were to colonize the galaxy, there would be trillions of us. (The galaxy is huge.) If there there were trillions of us, then the overwhelming majority of humans ever to exist would exist during that galaxy-colonized period. We exist. Thereβs no reason to think weβre unrepresentative of all humans. Yet we do not live in the galaxy-colonized period. Hence, itβs unlikely that humans will ever colonize the galaxy.
Similar to the contrapositive argument. Author reasons that if something were to occur, it would have a consequence. But that consequence is false. Hence, that something is unlikely to occur.
Analysis by J.Y.Ping
The scientist's argument proceeds by
reasoning that because ββ βββββ βββ βββ βββββββββ ββββ βββββ βββ β βββ βββββββββββ ββ βββββββββ
drawing a conclusion ββββ ββββββββββ βββββββββββ βββ ββ βββ ββββββββ ββββ βββ ββββββββ βββββββ
taking for granted ββββ ββββββββββ βββββββββββ βββββ βββ ββββββ ββββββ ββββ ββ ββββ ββββββ ββ βββ βββββ ββ βββ βββββββ βββββ
inferring that since ββ βββββ ββββ ββ βββββ ββ ββ ββββββ ββ β βββββ ββββββββββ βββ βββ βββββββββ βββ ββββββββββ ββ ββββββββ βββββ
making a prediction βββ ββββ βββ ββββββ βββββ ββ βββββββββββ βββββ ββββββββββ