PT133.S2.Q24

PrepTest 133 - Section 2 - Question 24

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Ecologists predict that Support the incidence of malaria will increase if global warming continues or if the use of pesticides is not expanded. ███ ███ ███ ██ ██████████ ██ █████ ██ ██████████ ██ ██████ ████████ ██ ██ ██ ██████████ ████ ██ ████ ███ ██ ████████ ██ ███████ ██ ███ █████ ██ █████

Objective: Parallel Questions

Parallel questions have a highly regimented theory and approach – even if your core logical intuitions are very strong, following a routine process specifically built around the LSAT’s unique patterns will dramatically reduce the time and mental energy required to identify the correct answer. So review these lessons. They’re important.

In short, though, our approach will be to develop an abstract model of the stimulus’ argument, preserving the structure but not the subject matter, then take a shallow dip into the answer choices looking for structural mismatches. Usually that suffices to identify the correct answer, but sometimes we’ll need a deep dive to distinguish between the (usually just two) answer choices that remain after our shallow dip.

Argument Structure And High-Drama Summary

There’s lots of moving pieces in this argument. It’s a bit like a sciencey RC passage, where there’s a lot of ↑ and ↓ and good and bad to track. And just like in RC, it’ll be super important to actually track it all in this question, tedious though it might be. In my opinion, the ideal approach to this question involves, at minimum, a few written notes to nail down the stimulus’ narrative. We can also borrow the RC technique of heightening the drama here – the goodness and badness of concepts gets a lot easier to track when you let the content hit you in the feely feels.

So take time up front to build your high-drama template for the stimulus, then evaluate each answer choice by plugging concepts into the template, trying to match the drama. I’ll walk you through a high-drama reading first, then give another summary focused on structure, then finally a template preserving the drama. Here’s the high-drama reading:

Malaria will go ↑ (bad!) if global warming continues or pesticides don’t go ↑. But if pesticides do go ↑ (which would be good…), that would cause more global warming (oh no! that would be bad!). So malaria is gonna go ↑ (bad!).

Now the summary focused on structure:

There’s a bad thing we’re hoping to prevent (Malaria↑). Either of two triggers would suffice to make the bad thing happen (Global Warming or /Pesticides↑). But oh no! If we try to block one of the triggers (Pesticides↑), that’ll activate the other trigger (Global Warming). So the bad thing is gonna happen for sure (Malaria↑).

Now the template into which we’ll plug each answer choice:

Bad Thing: exists
Two Triggers: each suffices to make the bad thing happen
But Oh No!: blocking one trigger activates the other
Conclusion: bad thing is gonna happen for sure
Show answer
24.

The pattern of reasoning in █████ ███ ██ ███ █████████ ██ ████ ███████ ██ ████ ██ ███ ████████ ██████

a

The crime rate ████ ████████ ██ ███ ███████ ████ ███ ███████ ██ ██ ██ ██ ███ ████████ ███ ██████ ██ ██████ █████████ ███ ██ ████ ██ ████ ██ ████ ████ ██████ ████████ ██ ███ ███████ ████ ████████ ██████████ ███ █████ ████ ████ ███ █████████

In (A), the bad thing won’t happen because blocking one trigger will help us block the other. Great news for the city! Bad news for (A) being right.

Bad Thing: Crime Rate↑
Two Triggers: /Economy↑ or /Police↑
But Yay?!?: Economy↑ → Police↑ (if we block one, we can block the other)
Conclusion: /Crime Rate↑
b

If educational funds ██████ ██ █████ ███████ █████ ██ ██ ██ ████ ██ ███████ █████████ █████████ ███████ ███████████ ████ ███████ ███ ██ ████ ████ ██ ███████ █████████ █████████ ██████████ ███████ ███████████ ████ ███████

(B) involves a mismatch in the But Oh No! section. Instead of saying blocking one trigger activates the other, it just directly activates one of the triggers. So while its conclusion is still valid (it even matches the bad thing is gonna happen conclusion from our template), it’s supported by different reasoning.

Bad Thing: Student Performance↓
Two Triggers: Educational Funds or /Recruit Teachers
But Oh No!: /Recruit Teachers
Conclusion: Student Performance↓
c

If interest rates ████████ ██ ██████ ███ ████████ █████ ████ ███ ████████ █████████ ████ █████ ███ ██ █████ ██ █ ███████ ██ ███ ██████ ███ ████████ ██████ ████ ████ ████ ██ ██████ ████████ ██████ ██████████ █████████ ████ █████

This matches the stimulus’ structure. Here’s an amended version of the structure-focused summary from the analysis to make the connections clear:

There’s a bad thing we’re hoping to prevent (Inflation↑). Either of two triggers would suffice to make the bad thing happen (Interest Rates↑ or /Demand↓). But oh no! If we try to block one of the triggers (Demand↓), that’ll activate the other trigger (Interest Rates↑). So the bad thing is gonna happen for sure (Inflation↑).

And here’s the template:

Bad Thing: Inflation↑
Two Triggers: Interest Rates↑ or /Demand↓
But Oh No!: Demand↓ –causes→ Interest Rates↑
Conclusion: Inflation↑
d

If global warming █████████ ██ ██ ███ ████ ██ █████ █████████ ██ ███ ████████ █████ ████ ██ ██ ████████ ██ ███ █████████ ██ ████ ███████ ███ ███████ ███ ██ ████████ ███████ ████ ████ ██████ ███████ ████ ███ ████████ ███ ████ █████ █████████ ████ ██ ████████ █████ ███ █████████ ██ ████ ██████ ████ ███ █████████

As a metagame note, (D) should immediately be sus because it matches the stimulus’ subject matter (global warming). Typically that’s an effort to tempt people who don’t realize preserving subject matter is irrelevant in parallel questions, which are all about structure. That doesn’t immediately make (D) wrong. Just sus.

In the story (D) tells, the bad thing won’t happen because some random new concept (Aerosols) will swoop in and block both triggers. Great news for cancer rates! Bad news for (D) being right.

Bad Thing: Skin Cancer↑
Two Triggers: Global Warming or /Ozone Depletion↓
But Oh No!: Aerosols↓causes→ /Global Warming and Ozone Depletion↓
Conclusion: /Skin Cancer↑
e

If deforestation continues ██ ███ ███████ ████ ███ ███ ███ ██ █████████ ██ ███ ██████████ ████████ ███████ ████ ████████ ██ ██████ ████████ ███ ███████ ██ ██████████ ██████████ ██████████ ██ ██ ██████████ ████ ███ ███████ ████ ██ █████████████ ████ ████████ ███ ████ ███ ███ ██ █████████ ████ ███ ██ ██████████ █████ ████████ ███████ ████ ████████ ██ ██████ ████████

(E) matches stimulus’ conclusion, but supports it using different reasoning. In (E) the bad thing is gonna happen because both triggers will be activated by some random new concept (Population↑).

Bad Thing: Hella Extinctions
Two Triggers: Deforestation and /Chemicals↓
But Oh No!: Population↑causes→ Deforestation and /Chemicals↓
Conclusion: Hella Extinctions

Confirm action

Are you sure?