Community organizer: Before last year's community cleanup, only 77 of the local residents signed up to participate, but then well over 100 actually participated. ████ █████ ██ █████████ ████ ██████ ██ ██ ████████████ █████ ███ █████████ ███████ ████ ██ █ ███████ ██ ██ ████ ██ █████ ███ █████████████ ██ ███ ██ █████████ ████ ████ ██████ ███████ ████ ██ █ ████████
The author concludes that this year’s cleanup will be a success. This is based on the fact that if we get at least 100 participants, then the cleanup will be a success. In addition, this year, 85 residents signed up to participate. Last year, only 77 signed up to participate, but over 100 actually participated.
The author assumes that, since last year’s actual turnout was higher than the number who signed up, this year’s actual turnout will also be higher than the number who signed up. This overlooks the possibility that what happened last year won’t happen this year.
The reasoning in the community ███████████ ████████ ██ ████ ██████████ ██ █████████ ██ ███ ███████ ████ ███ ████████
generalizes about the ███████ ██ ██ █████ █████ ██ █ ██████ ███████████ ██ █ ███████ █████████
takes for granted ████ ██████ ███ ████████████ ██ ████ ██████ ███████ ████ ███████████ ████ ████
confuses a condition ████ ██ ████████ ███ ██ ███████ ████ ███ ████ ██ ██████████ ███ ████ ███████
overlooks the possibility ████ ███ ███████ ████ ███████ ████████████ ███ ███ ███ █████████ ██ ███ █████████
defines a term ██ ████ █ ███ ██ ██ ██████ ████ ████████ ███ ████████ ██ ████ ██ ██████████ █ ████████ ███████