No, if LSAC keeps having -10, and -9 curves they are just likely to lose test takers than if they have a difficult game with a -14 curve.

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I also took both June and September, and guessed both curves correctly :) That being said, I thought this LG section was extremely easy, and to hear that most people thought the 8 floor game was hard, which usually translates into a larger curve.

RC was definitely one of the easier sections in recent history, so that doesn't seem to point to a larger curve, but I have one more point to make.

The LR, to me personally, seemed very difficult, on par with September, which were a lvl 3 and lvl 4 difficulty by 7sage metrics.

My initial feeling after the exam was a -12 curve, but I wouldn't rule out the potential of a -13 also based on others feeling that game 4 was "weird" game. I'll assign probabilities of:

-12: 60%

-13: 25%

-11: 10%

Other: 5%