LSAT 127 – Section 1 – Question 06

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Question
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Curve Question
Difficulty
Psg/Game/S
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Explanation
PT127 S1 Q06
+LR
+Exp
Weaken +Weak
Causal Reasoning +CausR
Sampling +Smpl
Math +Math
A
1%
154
B
1%
158
C
94%
163
D
1%
153
E
3%
155
126
136
145
+Easier 147.168 +SubsectionMedium

Violent crime in this town is becoming a serious problem. Compared to last year, local law enforcement agencies have responded to 17 percent more calls involving violent crimes, showing that the average citizen of this town is more likely than ever to become a victim of a violent crime.

Summarize Argument: Phenomenon-Hypothesis
The author concludes that the average citizen of this town is more likely than in the past to become a victim of violent crime. (This is a restatement of the first sentence, which you could also view as the conlcusion). This conclusion is based on the fact that compared to last year, local law enforcement agencies have responded to more calls involving violent crimes.

Notable Assumptions
The author assumes that the increased calls involving violent crimes is due to an actual increase in violent crime. (It could be due to something else, such as a greater tendency among the population to call the police when they see violent crime.) The author also assumes that any increase in the number of violent crimes actually increased the rate of crime. It’s possible the population has just grown disproportionately, such that the rate of crime has actually gone down.

A
The town’s overall crime rate appears to have risen slightly this year compared to the same period last year.
The argument is about violent crimes, not just crimes generally, so there’s no clear impact. If anything, this might strengthen the argument by showing that the overall crime rate has increased, which might include violent crime, too.
B
In general, persons under the age of 65 are less likely to be victims of violent crimes than persons over the age of 65.
But the average person can still be more likely to be a victim this year, even if there are different likelihoods between different age groups.
C
As a result of the town’s community outreach programs, more people than ever are willing to report violent crimes to the proper authorities.
This provides an alternate explanation for the increased calls involving violent crimes. These calls might not reflect an increase in actual crimes, but just an increase in the willingness to call about violent crimes.
D
In response to worries about violent crime, the town has recently opened a community center providing supervised activities for teenagers.
The town’s response doesn’t reveal anything about the crime rate. Maybe the town thinks there’s been an increase in violent crime? That doesn’t suggest whether there has or hasn’t been an increase in violent crime.
E
Community officials have shown that a relatively small number of repeat offenders commit the majority of violent crimes in the town.
A small number of people committing most of the crimes can still lead to a higher violent crime rate compared to last year.

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