Support Of 2,500 people who survived a first heart attack, those who did not smoke had their first heart attack at a median age of 62. ████████ ██ █████ ██████ ██████ ███ ██████ ███ █████ ██ ██████████ █ ███ ███ █████ █████ █████ ██████ ██ █ ██████ ███ ██ ███ ██ ███ █████ ██ ████ ████████████ ██ ███ ██ █████████ ████ ██████████ ████ ██ ████ █ █████ █████ ██████ ██████ █████ █████ ████ ██ ██████ ███ █████ ███ █████ ██ ██████████ █ ████
This stimulus features a clean sampling error – it draws a conclusion about everyone based on data about people who survived a first heart attack. The set of heart attack survivors is likely unrepresentative of people as a whole, so patterns we notice among that subset of people can't confidently extend to everyone.
The wording in this stem is atypical – it sorta sits between flaw, necessary assumption, sufficient assumption, and evaluate.
In practice, unrepresentative samples should be so burned into your brain that you don't think too hard about the other answer choices once you've found (E), which is a perfect match for this very common concept.
In hindsight, though, having wrestled with (A) and (D) in writing this explanation, the sufficient assumption implications of the stem turn out to be quite important to cleanly eliminate the wrong answers. That is, we need to read the stem as follows:
If the stimulus included [the correct answer choice], the conclusion would no longer be incorrectly drawn.
Analysis by MichaelWright
The conclusion is incorrectly drawn ████ ███ ███████████ █████ ███████ ████ ███████████ ████ ███ ███████
the relative severity ██ █████ ███████ ████████ ██ ███████ ███ ██████████
the nature of ███ █████████ ███████ ██████████ ████ ███████ ███ ██████████ ████████ █████ ████ ███ ████████ █████ █████ █████ ██████
how many of ███ █████ ██████ ███████ ████████ █ ██████ █████ ██████
the earliest age ██ █████ █ ██████ ███ ██████ ███ █████ █ ███ ███ ███ ██ ███ █████ █████ ██████
data on people ███ ███ ███ ███████ █ █████ █████ ██████