Critique Β·Author thinks "outcomes analysis" is misguided
I take it that "outcomes analysis" is Zirkel's social science technique. I predict that the next paragraph will tell us why the author thinks that's misguided.
Ah, this makes sense. The cases are too different: quality of evidence; attitude of judge; types of cases; etc. For "outcome analysis" to be predictively useful, a major assumption is that the cases are relevantly similar.
Researcher reads opinions to figure out which variables the judge thought was important in deciding the case. It then uses statistical methods to figure out the causal impact of those variables.
Researcher reads transcripts to figure out which variables and kinds of evidence contributed to the verdict. Presumably the researchers also use statistical tools to figure out causal impact.
Benefit Β·These methods can help parties assess outcome of a potential case
Passage Style
Critique or debate
Problem-analysis
18.
The information in the passage ββββββββ ββββ ββββββββββ βββ ββββββ βββ ββββββββββββββ βββββ βββββββ βββ ββββββββββ ββββββββ ββ ββββββββ ββββββββ βββ ββββ ββ βββββββ ββ
Question Type
Analogy (RC)
The author mentions that these plaintiffs believe in their cause and think that theyβll win, despite the evidence that success is unlikely. Letβs look for an answer that involves someone who decides to do something despite knowing that the chances of success by doing that thing are low.
This is the most analogous. The athletes in (A) use the training techniques despite knowing that theyβre probably not effective, just as some plaintiffs bring lawsuits despite knowing that the lawsuits likely wonβt succeed.
This isnβt analogous, because the plaintiffs described arenβt bringing many cases. Theyβre bringing their own cases based on their own legal cause.
10%
c
candidates for public ββββββ βββ βββ ββββ ββββββββββ ββ ββββββ β βββββββββ βββββββββ ββββ ββ βββββββ ββ ββββββββ
This isnβt analogous, because it doesnβt involve knowledge of a low chance of success. You might be tempted by (C) because weβre told the plaintiffs believe in their cause. But we have no reason to think the plaintiffs are more interested in making some point related to their cause than in winning their case.
This isnβt analogous, because it doesnβt involve knowledge of a low chance of success.
14%
e
purchasers of a βββββββββ ββββββ βββββββ βββ ββββββββ βββ ββββββββ β ββββββββββββ βββββββ βββ ββββββββββ ββ βββββββ ββ ββββββ
Here, the purchasers classify a ticket purchase as a contribution based on the low chance of winning. But this isnβt analogous, because the plaintiffs arenβt classifying their own case in a certain way based on the low chance of success. Theyβre deciding to pursue the case. (E) would be analogous if it were about the people who purchase a ticket despite knowing the low chance of winning.
8%
Difficulty
57% of people who answer get this correct
This is a moderately difficult question.
It is similar in difficulty to other questions in this passage.
CURVE
Score of students with a 50% chance of getting this right
25%139
152
75%164
Analysis
Analogy (RC)
Analogy (RC)
Stems asking us to find an analogy to some aspect of the passage. Similar to Parallel Reasoning in LR.
Critique or debate passages contain multiple points of view on a particular subject. Sometimes the author takes sides and participates in the critique or debate, other times the author merely reports the debate.
Passages that present a particular problem and then discuss the implications of that problem. They also often explore one or more solutions to that problem (although they donβt have to).