The school principal insisted that Support student failures are caused by bad teaching. ██ █ ██████████ █████ ████ ███████ ██████ ███████████ ████ ███ ███████ ███ █████████ ███████ ██████████ ████ ██ ████████ ████ ███ ████████ ███ ████████ ██ ███ ███████
The principal concludes that teaching must have improved at this school. His reasoning is that failing grades have disappeared, and he thinks that bad teaching causes failing grades.
The fundamental flaw in this reasoning is assuming that only one cause could have led to the observed effect. The failing grades have disappeared, but an improvement in teaching quality isn’t the only possible reason. For example, the teachers could have started grading more leniently, or the students could have started working harder.
The flawed pattern of reasoning ██ ███ █████ ██ ████ ███████ ██ ████ ██ █████ ███ ██ ███ ██████████
The nutritionist insisted ████ ███ ██████ ████ ████ ████ ███████ ██████████ ██ ███ ██████ ██ ███████████ ██ █ █████ ████ ███ ███ ███████ ███████ ███████████ ███ ████████████ ███ ███████ ██ ████████ ████ ████ ███ ███████ ███████ ███████
The manager insisted ████ ███ ███████ ███ █████ ██████████ ███ ███ ████ █████████ ██████ ███ ███████ ██████████ ███ █████ ███ ██████████ ████████ ███ ███████ ███████ █████████ ████ ███ ███████ ███████████ ███ ████ █████████
The nutritionist insisted ████ ███ ██████ ████ ████ ████ ███████ ██████████ ██ ███ ██████ ██ █████ ████████████ ███████ ████ █████ ██████ ██████ ███ ███ ████ █████ ███████ ███ ████████████ ███ ███████ ██ ████████ ████ ███ ██████████ ██ ██████ ████ ███ ████████
The manager insisted ████ ███ ███████ ███ █████ ██████████ ███ ███ ████ ██████ ██ ███ ████ █████ ████ ██ ████ ██████████ ██████ ███ ███████ ███ ███████ ██ ████████ ████ ███ ███████ ████ ███ ████████████ ███████ █████ █████
The nutritionist insisted ████ ███ ██████ ████ ████ ████ ███████ ██████████ ██ ███ ██████ ██ █████ ████████ ██ ████ ███ ██████ ███ ████████████ ███ █████ ██ ████████ ████ ███ ██████ ████ ███ ███████ ████ ███ ████ ███████ ████████ ████ ████ ███ ███████ ████████ ██ ████ ██ ██████