Support For every 50 dogs that contract a certain disease, one will die from it. █ ███████ ██████ ████ ██ █████████ ███ ███████ █████████ ██ ██████████ ████ ████████ █████ ███ ████ ██ █████ ████ █████████████ ██ ███████████ ██ ███ █████ ███ █████ █████████████ ██ ██ █████████ █████ ███ █ ███ ██ ███████ ███ ███████ ████ ███ ██ ███████ ███
The author concludes that it’s safer for dogs to get the vaccine than to skip it. She supports this by saying that the vaccine is almost 100% effective at preventing the disease. Also, the risk of death from the vaccine is 1 in 5,000, whereas 1 in 50 dogs who get the disease die.
For the vaccine to be more beneficial than costly, the author must assume that the disease is fairly common. While 1 in 5,000 vaccinated dogs die, and 1 in 50 dogs who get the disease die, we don’t know how many dogs will actually get the disease in the first place.
She also assumes that her argument applies to any dog, without considering how the disease or vaccine might affect different breeds or dogs differently.
She also overlooks any unaddressed costs of getting the vaccine, or any unaddressed costs or benefits of not getting it.
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the likelihood that ██ ████████████ ███ ████ ████████ ███ ███████ ██ ████████