Charles: Support During recessions unemployment typically rises. βββββ ββββββ β βββββββββ βββ βββββββββ βββ ββ ββββββββββ βββββββ ββββββββββ βββββ βββββ ββββββ βββββββ ββ ββββ ββ ββββ βββ ββ ββββ ββββββββ ββββββββββ ββββ βββ βββ βββ ββββ βββββ
ββββββ βββ βββββ ββββ βββ βββββββββ βββββ βββββββββ ββββββ β βββββββββ βββββ ββββββ βββ ββββββ ββ βββ βββ βββββ βββ ββββ ββββ ββ ββββ ββββ ββββββββββ ββ ββββ βββ ββββββ
Before anything else, take a close look at the question stem: we're only concerned with Charles' argument, and since that one is first, it means we don't have to consider Darla's argument at all. In this kind of situation, the counter-argument might be useful in helping you think of what the initial argument overlooks, but the initial argument should be the focus of your analysis.
With that out of the way, let's look at what Charles actually has to say. He concludes that air pollution from cars usually decreases during a recession. Charles supports this with a causal chain: the recession causes unemployment, which causes decreased commuting, which causes decreased car use, which causes decreased air pollution from cars.
Because Charles is making a causal argument, there are many possible necessary assumptions. The causal chain only works so long as there are no overlooked factors interfering with the results, so each possible factor could be its own necessary assumption. Darla points out one such factor: that pollution can be increased by the age of cars, potentially offsetting a lower frequency of driving.
If you can think of more factors that could complicate Charles' causal chain, great! But if not, that's also fineβbecause there are many possible necessary assumptions, it may be quicker to go straight to the answer choices. We need to find something that Charles' causal argument depends on; it doesn't have to make the argument valid, just save it from disaster. Especially without a clear prediction, we should consider each answer choice carefully, and rely on the must be true and negation tests as needed to double-check.
Analysis by AlexandraNash
Which one of the following ββ ββ ββββββββββ ββ βββββ βββββββββ ββββββββ ββββββββ
People who have βββββ ββββ ββββββββ βββββ ββ ββββ ββββββββββ ββββββ β βββββββββ ββββ ββββ βββββ ββββββββββ
Most air pollution ββ ββββββ ββ ββββββββββ βββββββ βββββββ ββ ββββ ββββ ββ ββββββ βββββββββ ββ βββββ
Most people who βββ ββββββββ ββ βββ βββ βββ ββββ ββ ββββββ ββββββββββββββ ββ βββββββ ββ βββββ βββββ
During a recession, βββββββββ ββ βββ βββ ββ ββββ βββββββββ ββββ ββββββββββ ββ βββββββββ ββ ββββ βββ βββ ββββββ ββ βββββββββ βββ ββ ββββ βββ βββββ ββββββββ
During a recession, β ββββββ ββββββββββ ββ ββββββ βββ βββββββ ββ ββββ ββ βββββ ββββ ββββ βββββ ββββ ββββ ββ ββββββ βββ ββ βββ βββ ββββ ββ βββββββ ββ βββββ βββββ