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The author concludes that if a change in climate in China in 45 B.C. was caused by volcanic ash, then ash from Mount Etna must have spread over vast distances. This is because Mount Etna in Sicily erupted a year prior to the climate irregularities in China, but the two locations are thousands of miles apart.
The author assumes that if any volcano caused the change of climate in China, then that volcano was Mount Etna; in other words, that there were no other powerful eruptions closer to China at that time. The author also assumes that the changes must have come directly from ash spreading to China, rather than the impact being indirect.
Analysis by AlexandraNash
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