Supervisor: Conclusion Our next budget proposal will probably be approved, because Support normally about half of all budget proposals that the vice president considers are approved, and Support our last five budget proposals have all been turned down.
The supervisor concludes that their next budget proposal will likely be approved because their last five have been rejected, but roughly half of all budget proposals are approved by the vice president.
The supervisor reasons that because their last five budget proposals have been turned down, and about half of all budget proposals the vice president considers are approved, their next budget proposal will probably be approved. However, the supervisor’s reasoning is flawed because it presumes, without reason, that the last five budget proposals being rejected increases the likelihood that the next budget proposal will be approved. Whether the next proposal will be good enough to be approved has nothing to do with the last five proposals.
The supervisor's reasoning is flawed ███████ ██ █████████ ███████ ██████ ████████ ████
the last five ██████ ██████████ ██████ ████ ██████ ████ ██████████ ████ ███ ████ ████ ██████ █████████ ████ ██ ████████
the vice president ██ ████████ ██ ███████ ██ █████ ████ ██ ███ ██████ █████████ █████████
having the last ████ ██████ █████████ ██████ ████ ███████ ███ ██████████ ████ ███ ████ ██████ ████████ ████ ██ ██████ ████
the majority of ███ ████ ████ ██████ █████████ ████████ ██ ██ ██████ ████
the likelihood that █ ██████ ████████ ████ ██ ████████ ██ ██████████ ██ ███ ██████ ██ █████ ████ ██████ ████████ ████████