PT125.S4.Q20

PrepTest 125 - Section 4 - Question 20

Show summary

TV meteorologist: Our station's weather forecasts are more useful and reliable than those of the most popular news station in the area. █████ ████ ███ ████ █████████ ████████ ███ ███████ ██ ████ ████ ██ ███████ ██ ████ █████ ███ ██ ████ ██ ███ █████████ ████ ██ ████ ████████ ████ ███ ███ ████ ████ ██ ████ ████ ██████ ███ ████ ██████ ██ ████ ███ ██████ ██ ███ ████████████

Summarize Argument

The meteorologist concludes that his station’s weather predictions are better than its competitors. This is because the majority of times they predicted rain, it rained. The station’s competitors have not been accurate most of the time.

Notable Assumptions

The meteorologist assumes that prediction accuracy is an effective indicator of usefulness and reliability. For example, it could be that the meteorologist's station has only predicted it would rain three times in a given year and it rained two out of those three times, while the competitors predicted it would rain 100 times and it rained 49 out of those 100 times. While the meteorologist’s station may be more accurate, it is not more useful or reliable. The author also assumes a conclusion about weather forecasts broadly using facts about rain—maybe people also care about whether it will snow.

Show answer
20.

Which one of the following, ██ █████ ████ ███████████ ███ ███████████████ █████████

a

The meteorologist's station ████████ ████ ████ █████ ████ ███ ███ ████ ███████ ████ ███████ ██ ███ █████

b

The less popular ██ ███ █████████ ████████ ████ ███ ██████ ███ █████████ ███████████████

c

The most popular ████ ███████ ██ ███ ████ ██ ███████ ███████ ██ ███ █████████████ ████ ████████

d

The meteorologist's station ███ █ ██████ ██ ███ ██████ ███████ █████████ ████ ████ █████ ████ ██ ████████

e

On most of ███ █████████ ████ ███ ███████████████ ███████ ████████ ████ ██ █████ ███ █████ ██ █████ ███ ██ ███ ███████████ ████ ████████ ████ ██ █████ ███ █████

Confirm action

Are you sure?