PT130.S3.Q14 > Analytics

SECTION 1 · lr

Question 1 Question 2 Question 3 Question 4 Question 5 Question 6 Question 7 Question 8 Question 9 Question 10 Question 11 Question 12 Question 13 Question 14 Question 15 Question 16 Question 17 Question 18 Question 19 Question 20 Question 21 Question 22 Question 23 Question 24 Question 25 Question 26

SECTION 2 · rc

PASSAGE 1

Question 1 Question 2 Question 3 Question 4 Question 5 Question 6 Question 7

PASSAGE 2

Question 8 Question 9 Question 10 Question 11 Question 12 Question 13

PASSAGE 3

Question 14 Question 15 Question 16 Question 17 Question 18 Question 19 Question 20

PASSAGE 4

Question 21 Question 22 Question 23 Question 24 Question 25 Question 26 Question 27

SECTION 3 · lr

SECTION 4 · lr

The argument claims that something is unlikely to have happened because its expected outcome did not occur. If Juan had been at the party, the expected outcome would have been Maria not enjoying it. Since she did enjoy it, the author argues that Juan probably wasn’t there.

Mismatched premises and conclusion. This appeals to a probability to make a prediction about the future. The stimulus appeals to an outcome to make an inference about the past.

Mismatched premises and conclusion. This references a trait common to a group to infer something about a member of that group. The stimulus refers to an expected outcome to make an inference about what probably occurred in the past.

Mismatched premises. (C) mistakenly infers that just because an outcome would be more likely in one scenario (an unfair lottery) that the outcome helps confirm that scenario. This is a flawed inference because many other scenarios could have also resulted in the same outcome.

The argument proceeds by claiming that something is unlikely to have happened (Clarissa missing the bus) because its expected outcome did not occur (Clarissa arriving late to work).

Mismatched premises and conclusion. This appeals to a probability to predict the future. The stimulus appeals to a scenario’s expected outcome to infer something about the past.

Question

85% of people who answer get this correct

This is a moderately difficult question.

CURVE

Score of students with a 50% chance of getting this right

25% 129

142

75% 154

Question Stem Tags

Parallel method of reasoning

Stimulus Tags

Conditional reasoning

Popularity Avg. score

157

156

11%

158

85%

164

156

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PrepTest 130 - Section 3 - Question 14

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