Support To predict that a device will be invented, one must develop a conception of the device that includes some details at least about how it will function and the consequences of its use. βββ ββββββββ βββββ βββ ββββββ ββ ββββββββββ ββ βββββββββ ββ βββββββββββββββββββ βββ βββββββββ βββββ ββββββββββ β ββββββββ βββββββββββ βββ βββ ββββββ βββββββ ββββ βββ βββββββ βββββ ββββββ
Predicting an invention is self-contradictory. Why? Because predicting an invention entails developing a detailed conception of how that invention will function. But if you manage to do that, congrats, you just invented the thing. So thatβs not prediction. Thatβs just invention. Hence, predicting an invention is impossible.
Author argues that something (predicting an invention) is impossible because a necessary condition of that something (developing a detailed conception of how that invention will function) rules that something out by definition (you canβt predict an invention that already exists).
Analysis by J.Y.Ping
Which one of the following ββββ ββββββββββ βββββββββ βββ βββββββββ ββ βββββββββ ββββββββ ββ βββ βββββββββ
constructing a counterexample ββ β βββββββ ββββββββββ βββββ βββ ββββββ
appealing to definitions ββ βββββ βββ βββββββββββββ ββ β ββββ ββ ββββββββββ
countering a hypothesis ββ ββββββββββ βββ βββββββββ ββ βββ ββββββββββββ ββ ββββ ββββββββββ
pointing out how β βββββββ ββ ββββββ βββββββ ββ ββ ββββββββββ βββ ββ ββββββ ββββββββββ
attempting to show ββββ ββββββββββ βββ βββββ βββββββ ββββ ββ βββ ββ ββββ βββββββ βββββ βββββ