Researcher: Each subject in this experiment owns one car, and was asked to estimate what proportion of all automobiles registered in the nation are the same make as the subject's car. ███ ████████ ██ ██████ █████ ███████ ███ ████ █████████████ ██████ ████ ███ ██████ ████████ █████████ ███ ███ ████ ██ ████ █████████ ████ █ ███████████ ████ ███████ █████ ██ ███ ███ ████ ██████ ██ ████ ███████ ██ ███ ██████ ████ ██ █████ ████████ ██████████ ████ █████ ████ ████ ██████ ██ ████████████ ███ ██████ █████ ████ ██ ███ ██ ███████████ ████ ██ █████████ ███ ██████ █████ ██ ████ ███████████ ██ ███████ █████ ██ ███ ████ ██████ ██ ████ ██████ ██ ████ █████ ██ ███ ██████ ████ ██ ███████
The researcher concludes that certain makes of car are more common in different regions of the nation. Why? Because the researcher hypothesized that if that conclusion was true, then many people would overestimate the national commonness of their own cars—and this was the very result found by a study, thus supporting the hypothesis.
The researcher concludes that a hypothesis is true based on evidence that supports that hypothesis. However, the hypothesis could still be false, because support for a hypothesis doesn’t guarantee that it’s true. The researcher doesn’t account for the possibility of alternative explanations for the result, for example.
Which one of the following ████ ██████████ █████████ █ █████████ ████ ██ ███ ████████████ █████████
The argument fails ██ ████████ ███ ██████████ ████ ████ ████████ ██ ███ ██████████ ███ ███ ████ ███ ██████ ██████████ █████ ███ ██████ █████ ████ ██ ███ ██ ███████████
The argument treats █ ██████ ████ ████████ █ ██████████ ██ █ ██████ ████ ██████ █ ███████████
The argument fails ██ ████ ████ ███████ ███ ███████████ ████ ███ ███████ ████ ███ ████ ████ █ ████ ███████ ██ ████████████ ████████
The argument attempts ██ ████ ███ ████ ██████████ ████ █ ███ ██ ████████ ████ ███ ████████ ██████████████
The argument applies █ ███████████ ██████████████ ██ █ ██████████ ████ ██ █████ ██ ███ ███ ████████ ██ ██████