Biologists found that off the northeast coast of a certain country the P-plankton population has recently dropped 10 percent. █████████████ ████ ███████ ██ ██ ███ █ ███ █████████ ██ ████ ███████████████ ████ █████ █████ ██ ███ ███████ █████ █████ ███████ ██ ████ ███ █████ ██ █████████ ███ ███████████ ██████████ ███████ ███ ███ █████████ ███ ██████████ ███ ███ █████ ██████ ██ ███ ██████████ ██ ████████ ██ █████ ███████ ██ ███ █████████ ██████ ██ ██ █████████
Three things are happening off the northeast coast:
1. P-plankton population dropped 10%.
2. Fish species X, Y, and Z are dying at unusually high rates.
3. No other species in the ecosystem appear to be affected.
The biologists think #1 and #2 are connected, but they don't know how. The fish are known to sometimes eat P-plankton, which is probably why the biologists suspect a connection, but notice that the stimulus doesn't commit to a specific direction of causation. Maybe whatever's hurting the plankton is also hurting the fish. Maybe the fish dying is somehow causing the plankton decline. Maybe something else entirely is causing both.
For Resolve/Reconcile/Explain questions, we want to identify what's surprising and then look for an answer that makes it less surprising.
Here, the surprising thing isn't just that plankton and fish populations are declining. Populations decline all the time. What's surprising is the specificity: only P-plankton, and only fish species X, Y, and Z. If something broad like pollution or climate change were responsible, you'd expect other species to be affected too. But no other species are affected.
So the correct answer needs to thread a needle. It has to explain something that would harm P-plankton and fish X, Y, and Z, but not the rest of the ecosystem. Any answer that's too broad (harms everything) or too narrow (only explains one of the two phenomena) won't work.
Analysis by Kevin_Lin
Which one of the following, ██ █████ ████ █████ ██ ███████ ███ ███████████ █████████
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