Support Investigators have not proved that the forest fire was started by campers. ███ ████ ████ ██████ ████ █████████ █████████ ███ █████ ██ ███ █████████████ ████ ███ ██████ ████ ███ █████ ███ ██████ ██ ███████ ██ ██████████
Investigators haven’t proven that the forest fire was started by campers, and they also haven’t proven that the fire was started by lightning. So the author concludes that investigators haven’t proven that the fire was started by either campers or lightning.
This is a subtle flaw! In concluding that investigators haven’t proven that campers or lightning started the fire, the author overlooks one possibility: even if the investigators haven’t proven that campers started the fire and they haven’t proven that lightning started the fire, it’s possible that they’ve used process of elimination to prove that nothing else could have started the fire. In that case, investigators could have concluded that either campers or lightning started the fire, even if they haven’t been able to prove which of those two suspects was the culprit.
The flawed pattern of reasoning ██ █████ ███ ██ ███ █████████ █████████ ████ ███████ █████████ ███ ██████ ███████ ██ █████████ ██ ███ ████████ ██████
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