Journalist: A recent study showed that Support people who drink three cups of decaffeinated coffee per day are twice as likely to develop arthritis—inflammation of joints resulting from damage to connective tissue—as those who drink three cups of regular coffee per day. ████████ █████████████ ██████ ████ ███████ █████████ ████ ███████ ██████████ ██████ ███ ████ ██ ███ ███████ ██ ███████ ███████
The journalist's conclusion is the claim that something present in decaffeinated coffee, but not regular coffee, damages connective tissue. This claim is based on a study showing that people who drink three cups of decaffeinated coffee per day are twice as likely to develop arthritis as those who drink three cups of regular coffee per day.
Based on a mere correlation, the journalist assumes that decaffeinated coffee causes damage to connective tissue. By assuming causation from correlation, the journalist assumes that some third factor isn't actually causing the difference in arthritis rates. For instance, if people who drink decaffeinated coffee tend to have less healthy diets than people who drink regular coffee, this could explain the different rates. The journalist also assumes that the rates of developing arthritis for decaffeinated coffee actually come from something in decaffeinated coffee that damages tissue. But if drinkers of both decaffeinated coffee and regular coffee have lower rates of arthritis than the general population, then it would be possible that decaffeinated coffee just contains less of a beneficial compound than regular coffee does, instead of containing something that causes damage.
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