PT145.S4.Q1

PrepTest 145 - Section 4 - Question 1

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Pundit: Conclusion Grenier will almost certainly not be elected as mayor. ████████ ███ ████ ███ ████████ ██ ███████ ████ ██████████ ██████ ██ ███ ████ █ ███ █████ ███ ████ ███ ███ ███████ ████ █████ █████ ██████ ███ ██ ██████████ ███ █████ ████ ███ ███ ███████ ████ █████ ███ █████ █████ █████████████ ██████████████ ███ ██████ ██ ████ ███████ ███ ████ ███ ███ ██ ██████████

Summary

The pundit predicts that Grenier will lose the mayoral election because she changed her stance on an issue, which will make the voters think she’s insincere.

Notable Assumptions

The support establishes a potential problem that Grenier will face in her mayoral election—voters won’t believe that her change of heart was sincere. The support doesn’t, however, establish that this means that she’ll lose the election. That part is simply assumed.

To help justify this conclusion, we’re looking for a principle that confirms that a mayoral candidate who appears insincere to voters will probably lose.

Show answer
1.

Which one of the following ███████████ ██ ██████ ████ █████ ██ ███████ ███ ██████████ ██████████

a

Voters are unlikely ██ ████ ███ █ ██████████ ████ ████ ████████ ██ ██ ██████████

b

Voters are unlikely ██ ██████ ███████ █ ██████████████ ██████ ██ ██████ ███ ███████ ████ █████

c

Voters are unlikely ██ ██ ██████████ ██ ████ █ ██████████████ █████ ████ ██ ███ ████ ██ ███ ██████ █████ ████ ███ ████████████ ███████ ██████████

d

Voters are likely ██ █████ █ ██████████ ███ ████ ███████ ███████████ █████ █████████ █████████

e

Voters are likely ██ ████████ ███ █████████ ██ █ ██████████ ███ ████ ███ ████ ███ ████ ███████ ████ ███

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