Marketing agent: A survey of my business clients reveals that, Support of those who made a profit last year, 90 percent made at least $100,000 in profit for the year. ββ βββββ ββββββ βββ βββ ββ βββββ ββββββββββ ββββ ββ ββββββ ββββββ ββ ββββ ββββ ββββββββ βββ ββ βββββββ ββ ββ ββββββββ βββββββ βββββββββ βββββ βββββββ ββ βββββ βββββββ ββββ βββββ
The marketing agent concludes that 90% of his clients increased their profits at least tenfold last year. He supports this by saying that 90% of his clients who made a profit last year earned at least $100,000, and none of them had earned more than $10,000 in previous years.
The marketing agent concludes that 90% of his clients increased their profit tenfold last year based only on the fact that 90% of his profitable clients did so.
This is the part-to-whole flaw. The agent assumes that whatβs true of a subset of his clients applies to all of his clients. But itβs possible that only a few clients were profitable last year, and while 90% of them increased their profits tenfold, most clients didnβt profit at all.
The reasoning in the marketing βββββββ ββββββββ ββ ββββ ββββββββββ ββ βββββββββ ββ βββ βββββββ ββββ βββ ββββββββ
overlooks the possibility ββββ βββ ββββββββ βββββββ βββ ββββ ββββ ββββ ββββββββ ββββ ββββ ββββ ββββ ββββββββ ββββ ββββ ββββββββ
fails to explain βββ ββββ ββ βββ ββββββββ βββββββ βββ ββββ β ββββββ βββ βββ ββββββββ βββββ βββββββ ββ βββββ βββββββ ββββ ββββ
draws a conclusion βββββ βββ ββ βββ ββββββββ βββββββ ββββ ββββββββ βββββ βββ ββββββββ βββββββ βββ ββββ β ββββββ ββββ ββββ
treats conditions that βββ ββββββββββ βββ ββββββ β ββββββ ββ ββββββ ββββ βββ βββββββββ βββ ββββββ β ββββββ
overlooks the possibility ββββ βββ βββ ββ βββ ββββββββ βββββββ ββββ ββ ββββββ ββββββ ββ ββββ ββββ βββββββ ββββ ββββ