Support If the winner of a promotional contest is selected by a lottery, the lottery must be fair, giving all entrants an equal chance of winning. █████ ██ ███████ ██ ███ ███████ ████████ ██ ███ ███████ ██ █ ██████ ███████████ ███████ █████████ █████ █████ █████ ██████ ███ █████ █ ████ ██ ███ ██████ ████████████ ███████ ██ ██ █████ ████ ████ ███████ ███ ███ ████ ███ ████████ ████████████
The author observes a phenomenon: 90% of the winners in a recent promotional lottery submitted their entry forms within the first 2 days of a 30-day registration period. What could explain this result?
The author's hypothesis is that it's due to unfairness. In other words, the author thinks that the people who entered the lottery in the first 2 days must have had a greater chance of winning than at least some other entrants.
The author's hypothesis is one possible explanation for why the vast majority of winners were entrants from the first 2 days, but it isn't the only one. Maybe a huge proportion of all entrants submitted their forms in the first 2 days? In that case, it would be perfectly natural for most winners to come from that group even in a completely fair lottery.
To strengthen the argument, let's look for an answer that helps eliminate this alternate explanation.
Analysis by Kevin_Lin
Which one of the following, ██ █████ ████ ███████████ ███ █████████
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The contest entry █████ ████ █████████ ██ █ ██████████ ████ ██████████ ███ ████████████ ███████
The rules of ███ ███████ ████ ██████ █████████████ ██ █████ ███ █████████ ███ ████████
The number of ██████ ████████ ███ ███████ ███ ████████ ███ ████████████ ██ ███ ███████ ███████████