7sage Predictor Percentages: What is considered a reach/target?

LAWYERED

Is a 40% chance a target? A 50%? etc?
Where do you think the cut off is for each category?

SLP_futureJD

Hi! In his office hours, @"David.Busis" said this (to be interpreted with a grain of salt always since it is only a predictor):
20% or lower super reach
20-40% reach
40-60% target
60-80% probable target
80-100% safety

Hope that helps!

MissChanandler

The list above seems like a pretty good guideline! I don't think there are hard cutoffs though, and if there's a super reach that you REALLY would love to go to, shoot your shot even if the percentage is like ten percent and not twenty, etc.

SLP_futureJD

@MissChanandler Yes I totally agree! I just looked at all my percentages and thought "oh well!" I applied anyway

David Busis

Thanks, @SLP_futureJD !

But also—I just made those definitions up! The percentage is the percentage. If you have a 65% chance of getting into a law school, I'm not sure it matters whether you call that school a "target" or a "probable target." What matters is you say, "Okay, this is on the more likely end, but it's not a sure bet, so I should definitely add something that feels very safe and also, why not, a couple that feel reachier."

Also also—the percentages themselves need to be taken with a grain of salt! The point is just to help you figure out whether you need to add schools that are higher or lower on the food chain, or both.

LAWYERED

Thanks! I just wanted to make sure I had roughly 3 targets, 3 reaches, and 3 safeties.