7sage Predictor Percentages: What is considered a reach/target?

Comments

• 8 Likes

  SLP_futureJD Alum Member

  December 2018 464 karma

  Hi! In his office hours, @"David.Busis" said this (to be interpreted with a grain of salt always since it is only a predictor):
  20% or lower super reach
  20-40% reach
  40-60% target
  60-80% probable target
  80-100% safety

  Hope that helps!
• MissChanandler Alum Member Sage ⭐

  December 2018 3256 karma

  The list above seems like a pretty good guideline! I don't think there are hard cutoffs though, and if there's a super reach that you REALLY would love to go to, shoot your shot even if the percentage is like ten percent and not twenty, etc.
• 1 Like

  SLP_futureJD Alum Member

  December 2018 edited December 2018 464 karma

  @MissChanandler Yes I totally agree! I just looked at all my percentages and thought "oh well!" I applied anyway
• 3 Likes

  David Busis Member Moderator

  December 2018 7375 karma

  Thanks, @SLP_futureJD !

  But also—I just made those definitions up! The percentage is the percentage. If you have a 65% chance of getting into a law school, I'm not sure it matters whether you call that school a "target" or a "probable target." What matters is you say, "Okay, this is on the more likely end, but it's not a sure bet, so I should definitely add something that feels very safe and also, why not, a couple that feel reachier."

  Also also—the percentages themselves need to be taken with a grain of salt! The point is just to help you figure out whether you need to add schools that are higher or lower on the food chain, or both.
• LAWYERED Alum Member

  December 2018 335 karma

  Thanks! I just wanted to make sure I had roughly 3 targets, 3 reaches, and 3 safeties.