Two lakes in the Pawpaw mountains, Quapaw and Highwater, were suffering from serious declines in their fish populations ten years ago. Since that time, there has been a moratorium on fishing at Quapaw Lake, and the fish population there has recovered. At Highwater Lake, no such moratorium has been imposed, and the fish population has continued to decline. Thus, the ban on fishing is probably responsible for the rebound in the fish population at Quapaw Lake.

Summarize Argument
The author concludes that the ban on fishing caused the fish population at Quapaw Lake to rebound. His evidence is that the fish population at Quapaw Lake rebounded after a fishing ban was put in place. On the other hand, the fish population at Highwater Lake, where there was no fishing ban, didn’t rebound.

Notable Assumptions
In order for the fishing ban to have made a difference at Quapaw Lake, the author must assume there was a substantial amount of fishing at Quapaw Lake before the ban went into effect. The author must also assume that no unaccounted-for outside factor (e.g. climate conditions, introduction of new species into the lake) caused the rebound.

A
Highwater Lake is in an area of the mountains that is highly susceptible to acid rain.
This provides an alternate explanation as to why the fish population at Highwater Lake continued to decline. However, for this to weaken the author’s conclusion we would need to know if Quapaw Lake isn’t located in an area highly susceptible to acid rain.
B
Prior to the ban, there was practically no fishing at Quapaw Lake.
The fishing ban couldn’t have caused the fish population to rebound at Quapaw Lake. There was hardly any fishing to begin with.
C
Highwater Lake is much larger than Quapaw Lake.
We don’t care how big the lakes are. We care about their fish populations and how fishing bans effect them.
D
Several other lakes in the Pawpaw mountains have recently had increases in their fish populations.
Perhaps those lakes also had fishing bans put in place.
E
There used to be a greater variety of fish species in Highwater Lake than in Quapaw Lake, but there no longer is.
We don’t care about variety. We care about the total population.

23 comments

Economist: Owing to global economic forces since 1945, our country’s economy is increasingly a service economy, in which manufacturing employs an ever smaller fraction of the workforce. Hence, we have engaged in less and less international trade.

"Surprising" Phenomenon

Why does shifting to a service-based economy with fewer manufacturing jobs lead the economist's country to engage in less international trade?

Objective

The correct answer will be a hypothesis that explains a key difference between service and manufacturing economies. This difference must either explain why service-based economies are less engaged in international trade or why manufacturing-based economies are more engaged in international trade.

A
International trade agreements have usually covered both trade in manufactured goods and trade in services.

This gives us a similarity between trade in manufactured goods and trade in services rather than a difference. Trade agreements may cover both kinds of trade, but we still don’t know why an increasingly service-based economy leads to a decrease in international trade engagement.

B
Employment in the service sector tends to require as many specialized skills as does employment in manufacturing.

(B) gives a similarity between service employment and manufacturing employment. It doesn’t connect either to international trade or provide an explanation for why increased service employment and decreased manufacturing employment lead to decreased international trade engagement.

C
Because services are usually delivered in person, markets for services tend to be local.

This provides a difference in the market for services as opposed to manufactured goods. Because services are delivered in person, markets for services are local. Thus, if an economy is increasingly service-based, it will engage in less international trade.

D
Many manufacturing jobs have been rendered obsolete by advances in factory automation.

This may explain why the country is becoming more service-based, but it doesn’t explain why a service-based economy is less engaged in international trade. We need an answer that links the shift from manufacturing to services with a drop in international trade.

E
Some services can be procured less expensively from providers in other countries than from providers in the economist’s country.

We need an answer that explains why more services in the economist's country lead to less international trade. (E) only says that some services are cheaper abroad but doesn’t connect this to the economist’s country's level of international trade.


14 comments