Pretzels can cause cavities. ██████████████ ███ ██████ ████ █ ███████ ███████ ██ ███████ ████ ███ █████ ████ ██ ██ █████ ██████ ███ ███████ ███ ██████████ ████ █ ██████ ████ ███████ ████ ██ ████ ██ ████████ ██ ████ ██████ ██ ████ ████ ██ █████████ ██████████ █████ ████████ ████████ ████ ███████ ██ ███ █████ ████ ████████ ███ ██████ █ ███████ ██ ████ ██████ ██ ██████ ██ █ ██████ ████ ██████ █ ███████ ███
The argument concludes that a pretzel is more likely to cause a cavity than is a caramel. Why? Because for both pretzels and caramels, the longer the item stays in contact with the teeth, the higher the chance of a cavity. However, pretzels dissolve more slowly in the mouth compared to caramels.
For this comparison between pretzels and caramels to work, the argument assumes that pretzels and caramels have the same likelihood over time of causing a cavity. And to make this assumption is a flaw: if caramels have a higher base chance of causing a cavity, then that might outweigh the effect of how long each food stays in contact with the teeth.
Let's make this more concrete by adding some numbers. We can say pretzels cause 1 point of cavity risk per second of tooth contact. If it takes 30 seconds for a pretzel to dissolve, then that's 30 points of cavity risk. If caramels have the same cavity risk, the argument would be correct; but if caramels have a higher cavity risk, the argument is in trouble. If caramels cause 10 points of cavity risk per second, then even if they only take 5 seconds to dissolve, that's 50 points of cavity risk—way more than the pretzel!
Analysis by AlexandraNash
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mistakes the cause ██ █ ██████████ ██████████ ███ ███ ██████ ██ ████ ██████████
is based on ████████ ████ ██████ ███ ██ ████