Merle: Support Usually when I insert a dollar bill into the change machine at the office it makes a squeaking sound before it produces change. ███ ███ ███████ ███ ████ ███ █████ ████ ████ ███ ████████ ██████ ██ ██ ███████ ████ ██ ██████ ███ ██████████ ██ ████ ██ ████ ███ ████████ ██████ ███████ ██ ██████ ███
The argument proceeds by establishing a necessary condition for an outcome (the change machine must be plugged into a powered outlet in order to produce a squeaking sound). Since Merle usually observes that outcome when he uses the machine, he concludes that the relevant necessary condition must usually be met (the machine must usually be plugged into a powered outlet).
The argument is flawed because draws a broad conclusion based on evidence that may be unrepresentative. Specifically, it fails to establish how often Merle uses the machine. Merle notes that the machine usually makes a squeaking sound when he uses it, but if Merle uses the machine infrequently, then his experience may not reflect the typical state of the outlet. To conclude that the outlet is usually on, the argument would need to demonstrate that Merle uses the machine frequently enough to make a reliable generalization.
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