September 2016 Curve Prediction

yimei

I thought I'd make a thread about possible curves for the exam. What do 7Sagers think?

esteerose

I do not know what this is. They curve the score?? (taking in dec)

lsatblitz

-13 for a 170

blah170blah

@lsatblitz Oh man, if ONLYYYYYYYY. I'm less optimistic - I'm thinking -10/-11

Alex

-12 is my prediction.

ETA: Complete conjecture based off of what others have told me. I didn't take the test.

StopLawying

Same here, didn't take the test but from what I've heard: RC same as 78, LG harder because of last game, and LR very easy. So thinking -11,-12

danielznelson

-10/-11. Would've gone -9, because of the easy 3 LG, but the last game did have six questions, as opposed to the normal five for weird games. Also, it seems LSAC is straying away from the extreme curves, both low and high, though I could be off on that.

yimei

@esteerose We are trying to predict what the maximum number of wrong answers for 170s is.

lsatblitz

@blah170blah said:
Oh man, if ONLYYYYYYYY. I'm less optimistic - I'm thinking -10/-11

I feel good about the curve. This test had harder RC and games than 77, and that one got a -12. I felt like 78 was a walk in the park compared to this last one, and 78 got a -11.

Sticking to my -13 prediction.

Ron Swanson

I feel like the most notable takeaway from 78 was clay tablets and some tricky LR questions.

Seems like a lot of people were tripped up by the lacquer passage and obviously the virus game was a curveball. True, LR seemed pretty straight forward but there were still some curve breakers.

My guess is -12 but definitely hope for -13

esteerose

@yimei So, my sort-of-not-very-high PT score might be higher on the day of the real test... if everyone does really bad on the December LSAT?

yimei

@esteerose said:
So, my sort-of-not-very-high PT score might be higher on the day of the real test... if everyone does really bad on the December LSAT?

Yea. LSAT score is based on your percentile among the test-takers

Daniel.Sieradzki

@esteerose Yes, but the curve is pre-determined based on when the September test was given as an experimental in past LSAT administrations

TheMikey

-13

Daniel.Sieradzki

-13 seems fair

Daniel.Sieradzki

Daniel I love you, but I so hope you are wrong.

danielznelson

@Daniel.Sieradzki We all want me to be wrong! I could of course argue people are overemphasizing the degree of difficulty, hoping they receive a generous curve, but it could just as easily be argued that I'm unconsciously preparing for the worse and predicting a low curve as a result.

Still, I would be shocked beyond all belief if it were that high. We're in PT 72 territory at that point.

Let's hope I'm way off on this one.

Cant Get Right

I had a dream last night that it was -9, lol.

Kateryna

@"Cant Get Right" thats a cruel, cruel thing to say/dream about. worst nightmare i have ever heard of

inactive

@"Cant Get Right" said:
I had a dream last night that it was -9, lol.

http://cdn.shopify.com/s/files/1/0185/5092/products/persons-0027.png

BruiserWoods

@"Dillon A. Wright" DON'T SAY THAT

inactive

@BruiserWoods said:
DON'T SAY THAT

THAT WASN'T ME

BruiserWoods

@"Dillon A. Wright" lol jk u right

@"Cant Get Right" DON'T SAY THAT

Cant Get Right

I just dreamed it @BruiserWoods . @danielznelson is the one saying it for real real.

tofuspeedstar

-13/-14. They gave 71 a -14 curve and I didn't even feel it was that difficult.

79 felt like they took the RC of 78 and LG of 77 and put them together along with an insanely tough LR2. LR1 was alright (3/5 on the difficulty scale)

Cant Get Right

-13/-14. They gave 71 a -14 curve and I didn't even feel it was that difficult.

See, this is what I'm talking about!

LibertyKoko

Spivey said -13 and Killoran said -12, so that has to be a good sign

Cant Get Right

Spivey said -13 and Killoran said -12, so that has to be a good sign

That's definitely a good sign @LibertyKoko ! What did they base those predictions on, if you wouldn't mind elaborating?

Ron Swanson

@LibertyKoko where can I find the Spivey article?

yimei

@"Ron Swanson" said:
where can I find the Spivey article?

His twitter

BruiserWoods

@"Ron Swanson" its on Spivey's Twitter. I already tweeted him. Stay tuned for updates.

danielznelson

@"Cant Get Right"

Please don't hate me, everyone!

http://25.media.tumblr.com/e16c9944294abfb9f38bc46629cf9413/tumblr_mz7ybdPPuK1sv6zdro6_r1_250.gif

Cant Get Right

It's not that we hate you @danielznelson . It's that your reasoning makes us confused and scared, lol.

TheLoftGuy

Idk much about the curve but this is great news. Means my score will be even higher. Scholarships await

yimei

@"Cant Get Right" Powerscore’s prediction was based on: “ I estimate it based on numerous test reports I receive that evaluate difficulty. Cancels seem normal thus far, fyi.”

https://twitter.com/DaveKilloran/status/782119806623375360

Cant Get Right

Cool, thanks for that @yimei !

combsni

-15 lol

CalPoliSci

And how accurate has Spivey been in the past?