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September 2016 Curve Prediction

yimeiyimei Member
edited September 2016 in September 2016 LSAT 138 karma
I thought I'd make a thread about possible curves for the exam. What do 7Sagers think?
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Comments

  • esteeroseesteerose Alum Member
    382 karma
    I do not know what this is. They curve the score?? (taking in dec)
  • lsatblitzlsatblitz Alum Member
    521 karma
    -13 for a 170
  • blah170blahblah170blah Alum Inactive ⭐
    3545 karma
    @lsatblitz Oh man, if ONLYYYYYYYY. I'm less optimistic - I'm thinking -10/-11
  • AlexAlex Alum Member ⭐
    edited September 2016 23929 karma
    -12 is my prediction.

    ETA: Complete conjecture based off of what others have told me. I didn't take the test.
  • StopLawyingStopLawying Alum Member
    821 karma
    Same here, didn't take the test but from what I've heard: RC same as 78, LG harder because of last game, and LR very easy. So thinking -11,-12
  • danielznelsondanielznelson Alum Inactive Sage Inactive ⭐
    4186 karma
    -10/-11. Would've gone -9, because of the easy 3 LG, but the last game did have six questions, as opposed to the normal five for weird games. Also, it seems LSAC is straying away from the extreme curves, both low and high, though I could be off on that.
  • yimeiyimei Member
    138 karma
    @esteerose We are trying to predict what the maximum number of wrong answers for 170s is.
  • lsatblitzlsatblitz Alum Member
    521 karma
    @blah170blah said:
    Oh man, if ONLYYYYYYYY. I'm less optimistic - I'm thinking -10/-11
    I feel good about the curve. This test had harder RC and games than 77, and that one got a -12. I felt like 78 was a walk in the park compared to this last one, and 78 got a -11.

    Sticking to my -13 prediction.
  • Ron SwansonRon Swanson Alum Member Inactive ⭐
    1650 karma
    I feel like the most notable takeaway from 78 was clay tablets and some tricky LR questions.

    Seems like a lot of people were tripped up by the lacquer passage and obviously the virus game was a curveball. True, LR seemed pretty straight forward but there were still some curve breakers.

    My guess is -12 but definitely hope for -13
  • esteeroseesteerose Alum Member
    edited September 2016 382 karma
    @yimei So, my sort-of-not-very-high PT score might be higher on the day of the real test... if everyone does really bad on the December LSAT?
  • yimeiyimei Member
    138 karma
    @esteerose said:
    So, my sort-of-not-very-high PT score might be higher on the day of the real test... if everyone does really bad on the December LSAT?
    Yea. LSAT score is based on your percentile among the test-takers
  • Daniel.SieradzkiDaniel.Sieradzki Member Sage ⭐
    edited October 2016 2301 karma
    @esteerose Yes, but the curve is pre-determined based on when the September test was given as an experimental in past LSAT administrations
  • TheMikeyTheMikey Alum Member
    4196 karma
    -13
  • Daniel.SieradzkiDaniel.Sieradzki Member Sage ⭐
    2301 karma
    -13 seems fair
  • Daniel.SieradzkiDaniel.Sieradzki Member Sage ⭐
    edited October 2016 2301 karma
    Daniel I love you, but I so hope you are wrong.
  • danielznelsondanielznelson Alum Inactive Sage Inactive ⭐
    4186 karma
    @Daniel.Sieradzki We all want me to be wrong! I could of course argue people are overemphasizing the degree of difficulty, hoping they receive a generous curve, but it could just as easily be argued that I'm unconsciously preparing for the worse and predicting a low curve as a result.

    Still, I would be shocked beyond all belief if it were that high. We're in PT 72 territory at that point.

    Let's hope I'm way off on this one.
  • Cant Get RightCant Get Right Yearly + Live Member Sage ⭐ 🍌 7Sage Tutor
    28068 karma
    I had a dream last night that it was -9, lol.
  • KaterynaKateryna Alum Member
    984 karma
    @"Cant Get Right" thats a cruel, cruel thing to say/dream about. worst nightmare i have ever heard of
  • inactiveinactive Alum Member
    12637 karma
    @"Cant Get Right" said:
    I had a dream last night that it was -9, lol.
  • BruiserWoodsBruiserWoods Member Inactive ⭐
    1706 karma
    @"Dillon A. Wright" DON'T SAY THAT
  • inactiveinactive Alum Member
    12637 karma
    @BruiserWoods said:
    DON'T SAY THAT
    THAT WASN'T ME
  • BruiserWoodsBruiserWoods Member Inactive ⭐
    1706 karma
    @"Dillon A. Wright" lol jk u right

    @"Cant Get Right" DON'T SAY THAT
  • Cant Get RightCant Get Right Yearly + Live Member Sage ⭐ 🍌 7Sage Tutor
    28068 karma
    I just dreamed it @BruiserWoods . @danielznelson is the one saying it for real real.
  • tofuspeedstartofuspeedstar Alum Member
    edited October 2016 139 karma
    -13/-14. They gave 71 a -14 curve and I didn't even feel it was that difficult.

    79 felt like they took the RC of 78 and LG of 77 and put them together along with an insanely tough LR2. LR1 was alright (3/5 on the difficulty scale)
  • Cant Get RightCant Get Right Yearly + Live Member Sage ⭐ 🍌 7Sage Tutor
    28068 karma
    -13/-14. They gave 71 a -14 curve and I didn't even feel it was that difficult.
    See, this is what I'm talking about!
  • LibertyKokoLibertyKoko Member
    61 karma
    Spivey said -13 and Killoran said -12, so that has to be a good sign
  • Cant Get RightCant Get Right Yearly + Live Member Sage ⭐ 🍌 7Sage Tutor
    28068 karma
    Spivey said -13 and Killoran said -12, so that has to be a good sign
    That's definitely a good sign @LibertyKoko ! What did they base those predictions on, if you wouldn't mind elaborating?
  • Ron SwansonRon Swanson Alum Member Inactive ⭐
    1650 karma
    @LibertyKoko where can I find the Spivey article?
  • yimeiyimei Member
    138 karma
    @"Ron Swanson" said:
    where can I find the Spivey article?
    His twitter
  • BruiserWoodsBruiserWoods Member Inactive ⭐
    1706 karma
    @"Ron Swanson" its on Spivey's Twitter. I already tweeted him. Stay tuned for updates.
  • danielznelsondanielznelson Alum Inactive Sage Inactive ⭐
    4186 karma
    @"Cant Get Right"

    Please don't hate me, everyone!

  • Cant Get RightCant Get Right Yearly + Live Member Sage ⭐ 🍌 7Sage Tutor
    28068 karma
    It's not that we hate you @danielznelson . It's that your reasoning makes us confused and scared, lol.
  • TheLoftGuyTheLoftGuy Alum Member
    edited October 2016 698 karma
    Idk much about the curve but this is great news. Means my score will be even higher. Scholarships await
  • yimeiyimei Member
    138 karma
    @"Cant Get Right" Powerscore’s prediction was based on: “ I estimate it based on numerous test reports I receive that evaluate difficulty. Cancels seem normal thus far, fyi.”
  • Cant Get RightCant Get Right Yearly + Live Member Sage ⭐ 🍌 7Sage Tutor
    28068 karma
    Cool, thanks for that @yimei !
  • combsnicombsni Free Trial Member
    652 karma
    -15 lol
  • CalPoliSciCalPoliSci Member
    236 karma
    And how accurate has Spivey been in the past?
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