September 2016 Curve Prediction

yimei · September 2016

I thought I'd make a thread about possible curves for the exam. What do 7Sagers think?

esteerose · September 2016

I do not know what this is. They curve the score?? (taking in dec)

lsatblitz · September 2016

-13 for a 170

blah170blah · September 2016

@lsatblitz Oh man, if ONLYYYYYYYY. I'm less optimistic - I'm thinking -10/-11

Alex · September 2016

-12 is my prediction.

ETA: Complete conjecture based off of what others have told me. I didn't take the test.

StopLawying · September 2016

Same here, didn't take the test but from what I've heard: RC same as 78, LG harder because of last game, and LR very easy. So thinking -11,-12

danielznelson · September 2016

-10/-11. Would've gone -9, because of the easy 3 LG, but the last game did have six questions, as opposed to the normal five for weird games. Also, it seems LSAC is straying away from the extreme curves, both low and high, though I could be off on that.

yimei · September 2016

@esteerose We are trying to predict what the maximum number of wrong answers for 170s is.

lsatblitz · September 2016

@blah170blah said:
Oh man, if ONLYYYYYYYY. I'm less optimistic - I'm thinking -10/-11

I feel good about the curve. This test had harder RC and games than 77, and that one got a -12. I felt like 78 was a walk in the park compared to this last one, and 78 got a -11.

Sticking to my -13 prediction.

Ron Swanson · September 2016

I feel like the most notable takeaway from 78 was clay tablets and some tricky LR questions.

Seems like a lot of people were tripped up by the lacquer passage and obviously the virus game was a curveball. True, LR seemed pretty straight forward but there were still some curve breakers.

My guess is -12 but definitely hope for -13

esteerose · September 2016

@yimei So, my sort-of-not-very-high PT score might be higher on the day of the real test... if everyone does really bad on the December LSAT?

yimei · September 2016

@esteerose said:
So, my sort-of-not-very-high PT score might be higher on the day of the real test... if everyone does really bad on the December LSAT?

Yea. LSAT score is based on your percentile among the test-takers

Daniel.Sieradzki · September 2016

@esteerose Yes, but the curve is pre-determined based on when the September test was given as an experimental in past LSAT administrations

TheMikey · September 2016

-13

Daniel.Sieradzki · October 2016

-13 seems fair

Daniel.Sieradzki · October 2016

Daniel I love you, but I so hope you are wrong.

danielznelson · October 2016

@Daniel.Sieradzki We all want me to be wrong! I could of course argue people are overemphasizing the degree of difficulty, hoping they receive a generous curve, but it could just as easily be argued that I'm unconsciously preparing for the worse and predicting a low curve as a result.

Still, I would be shocked beyond all belief if it were that high. We're in PT 72 territory at that point.

Let's hope I'm way off on this one.

Cant Get Right · October 2016

I had a dream last night that it was -9, lol.

Kateryna · October 2016

@"Cant Get Right" thats a cruel, cruel thing to say/dream about. worst nightmare i have ever heard of

inactive · October 2016

@"Cant Get Right" said:
I had a dream last night that it was -9, lol.

http://cdn.shopify.com/s/files/1/0185/5092/products/persons-0027.png

BruiserWoods · October 2016

@"Dillon A. Wright" DON'T SAY THAT

inactive · October 2016

@BruiserWoods said:
DON'T SAY THAT

THAT WASN'T ME

BruiserWoods · October 2016

@"Dillon A. Wright" lol jk u right

@"Cant Get Right" DON'T SAY THAT

Cant Get Right · October 2016

I just dreamed it @BruiserWoods . @danielznelson is the one saying it for real real.

tofuspeedstar · October 2016

-13/-14. They gave 71 a -14 curve and I didn't even feel it was that difficult.

79 felt like they took the RC of 78 and LG of 77 and put them together along with an insanely tough LR2. LR1 was alright (3/5 on the difficulty scale)

Cant Get Right · October 2016

-13/-14. They gave 71 a -14 curve and I didn't even feel it was that difficult.

See, this is what I'm talking about!

LibertyKoko · October 2016

Spivey said -13 and Killoran said -12, so that has to be a good sign

Cant Get Right · October 2016

Spivey said -13 and Killoran said -12, so that has to be a good sign

That's definitely a good sign @LibertyKoko ! What did they base those predictions on, if you wouldn't mind elaborating?

Ron Swanson · October 2016

@LibertyKoko where can I find the Spivey article?

yimei · October 2016

@"Ron Swanson" said:
where can I find the Spivey article?

His twitter

BruiserWoods · October 2016

@"Ron Swanson" its on Spivey's Twitter. I already tweeted him. Stay tuned for updates.

danielznelson · October 2016

@"Cant Get Right"

Please don't hate me, everyone!

http://25.media.tumblr.com/e16c9944294abfb9f38bc46629cf9413/tumblr_mz7ybdPPuK1sv6zdro6_r1_250.gif

Cant Get Right · October 2016

It's not that we hate you @danielznelson . It's that your reasoning makes us confused and scared, lol.

TheLoftGuy · October 2016

Idk much about the curve but this is great news. Means my score will be even higher. Scholarships await

yimei · October 2016

@"Cant Get Right" Powerscore’s prediction was based on: “ I estimate it based on numerous test reports I receive that evaluate difficulty. Cancels seem normal thus far, fyi.”

https://twitter.com/DaveKilloran/status/782119806623375360

Cant Get Right · October 2016

Cool, thanks for that @yimei !

combsni · October 2016

-15 lol

CalPoliSci · October 2016

And how accurate has Spivey been in the past?

Howdy, Stranger!

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September 2016 Curve Prediction

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