LSAT 155 – Section 2 – Question 01

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November 2019

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Question QuickView	Type	Tags	Answer Choices	Curve This gives you an idea of how this question is “curved”— in other words, what level of scorer is likely to get this question right. It shows a model of scaled LSAT score vs probability of getting the question correct. It is based on student test results for each question. The gray bar extends from the score for a 25% chance, to the score for a 75% chance of getting the question correct. The black line in the middle is the score for a 50% chance of getting the question correct. The percentage at the right is the expected chance of someone with the same score as you on that PrepTest getting that question correct	Question Difficulty	Psg/Game/S Difficulty	Explanation

Question QuickView	Type	Tags	Answer Choices	Curve This gives you an idea of how this question is “curved”— in other words, what level of scorer is likely to get this question right. It shows a model of scaled LSAT score vs probability of getting the question correct. It is based on student test results for each question. The gray bar extends from the score for a 25% chance, to the score for a 75% chance of getting the question correct. The black line in the middle is the score for a 50% chance of getting the question correct. The percentage at the right is the expected chance of someone with the same score as you on that PrepTest getting that question correct	Question Difficulty	Psg/Game/S Difficulty	Explanation
PT155 S2 Q01	+LR	Strengthen +Streng Sampling +Smpl	A 89% 160 B 0% 144 C 0% 125 D 8% 152 E 3% 151	126 137 147	+Easier	145.934 +SubsectionMedium

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CEO: While we only have the sales reports for the first 9 months of this year, I feel confident in concluding that this will be a good year for us in terms of sales. In each of the last 5 years, our monthly sales average was less than $30 million. However, our monthly sales average so far for this year is over $35 million.

Summarize Argument

The CEO concludes that this will be a good year for sales, based on sales reports for the first 9 months of the year. He supports this by pointing out that the company’s monthly sales average so far this year is over $35 million, compared to a monthly sales average of less than $30 million in each of the last 5 years.

Notable Assumptions

The CEO assumes that the monthly sales average from the first 9 months of the year are representative and accurately predict the entire year’s average performance. He assumes that sales will not significantly drop during the last 3 months of the year, without considering seasonal changes or other factors that could affect end-of-year sales.

The CEO’s company typically has its highest monthly sales of the year during the last 3 months of the year.

This strengthens the CEO’s conclusion by addressing the assumption that sales won’t drop in the last 3 months. If sales are usually highest during this time, it's likely that the company’s sales trend will continue, leading to a strong overall year.

The quality of the products sold by the CEO’s company has always been considered to be relatively high.

Irrelevant— the CEO’s argument is only concerned with the company’s average monthly sales. The fact that the company’s products have always been high quality doesn't tell us anything about its monthly sales for the last 3 months of this year.

The CEO has a strong incentive to highlight any good news regarding the company and to downplay bad news.

This may explain why the CEO is motivated to predict a good year in sales, but it doesn’t help to strengthen his argument.

The CEO’s company started a new advertising campaign at the beginning of this year that has proved unusually effective so far.

This may help to explain the higher sales over the first 9 months of the year, but we don’t know whether that trend will continue through the last 3 months of the year.

Several other companies who sell products similar to those sold by the CEO’s company have also reported that this year’s monthly sales averages so far have been higher than previous years’ averages.

Like (C), this doesn't strengthen the argument because it doesn’t address the assumption that the first 9 months’ sales can be used to predict the entire year’s average performance.

LSAT 155 – Section 2 – Question 01

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LSAT PrepTest 155 Explanations

Section 1 - Logical Reasoning

Section 2 - Logical Reasoning

Section 3 - Reading Comprehension

Section 4 - Logical Reasoning

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