PT135.S4.Q26 > Question

SECTION 1 · lr

Question 1 Question 2 Question 3 Question 4 Question 5 Question 6 Question 7 Question 8 Question 9 Question 10 Question 11 Question 12 Question 13 Question 14 Question 15 Question 16 Question 17 Question 18 Question 19 Question 20 Question 21 Question 22 Question 23 Question 24 Question 25

SECTION 2 · lr

SECTION 3 · rc

PASSAGE 1

Question 1 Question 2 Question 3 Question 4 Question 5 Question 6 Question 7

PASSAGE 2

Question 8 Question 9 Question 10 Question 11 Question 12 Question 13

PASSAGE 3

Question 14 Question 15 Question 16 Question 17 Question 18 Question 19

PASSAGE 4

Question 20 Question 21 Question 22 Question 23 Question 24 Question 25 Question 26 Question 27

SECTION 4 · lr

The author concludes that our club will almost certainly be city champions this year. This is based on the following:

Premise: Our club recruited the best volleyball players in the city.

Sub-conclusion: We will have the best team in the city.

Premise: The best team in the city will be the team most likely to win the championship.

The author commits the part-to-whole fallacy in assuming that because the club has the best volleyplayers, the team will be the best.

The author also assumes that being the team with the best chance of winning the championship implies that the chance is near certainty. This overlooks that the team’s chance of winning could still be very low, even if that chance is better than the chances of each other team.

The author does not assume that the “best” can be determined only based on competition. Notice that the premise says certain players are the “best,” but doesn’t say we had to see them in competition to make this determination.

Having the best players on your team is certainly relevant to the quality of the team. Although it doesn’t guarantee that the team will be the best, that doesn’t mean this feature is irrelevant.

There’s nothing flawed about predicting an outcome based on comparing the parties in that competition. Although the author reaches his prediction in a flawed way, that doesn’t mean the act of predicting based on a comparison is flawed.

One of the premises asserts that the club recruited the best players (individual parts of the team). This is a fact we accept as true. So the author doesn’t assume that these players are the best. The author uses this fact to conclude that the team is the best.

(E) captures the author’s assumption that because the team has the best chance of winning, it will almost certainly win. The author overlooks that the team’s chance of winning might still be under 50%, even if that chance is higher than the chance of each other team winning.

PrepTest 135 - Section 4 - Question 26

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