LSAT 143 – Section 1 – Question 11

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Type Tags Answer
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Curve Question
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PT143 S1 Q11
+LR
Weaken +Weak
Causal Reasoning +CausR
A
1%
148
B
7%
156
C
3%
157
D
86%
165
E
4%
159
139
147
156
+Medium 148.401 +SubsectionMedium

Police chief: During my tenure as chief, crime in this city has fallen by 20 percent. This is clearly the result of my policing strategy, which uses real-time crime data and focuses police resources on the areas with the most crime.

Summarize Argument: Phenomenon-Hypothesis
The police chief hypothesizes that the 20% reduction in crime is a result of her policing strategy. She offers no support for this claim.

Notable Assumptions
The police chief assumes that the reduction in crime owes to her policing strategy rather than to some other factor (e.g. economic prosperity in the city, generally falling crime rates in the country, other changes in the justice system).

A
The crime rate in the police chief’s city is still significantly higher than in many other cities.
The police chief’s policing strategy can still have caused a 20% reduction in crime, even if that reduction leaves the city with an above-average crime rate.
B
The crime rate in the police chief’s city is higher now than it was several decades before the chief’s tenure began.
Like (A), the police chief’s policing strategy can still have caused a 20% reduction in crime while leaving the city with a higher crime rate than several decades earlier.
C
The crime rate in the police chief’s city fell significantly during the first few years of the chief’s tenure, then it leveled off.
We don’t care how the police chief got to the 20% reduction over the years. We simply care that the reduction was an effect of her policing strategy.
D
The crime rate in the country as a whole fell by about 30 percent during the police chief’s tenure.
The police chief’s strategy likely wasn’t what caused the 20% crime reduction, given that crime fell by 30% around the country. In fact, the police chief’s strategy appears to have resulted in a milder reduction than those employed around the country.
E
The variation in crime rates between different areas of the city is smaller in the police chief’s city than in many other cities.
This supports the police chief’s claim. By targeting particularly high-risk areas, the police chief lowers variation between different areas of the city. This could’ve caused the 20% reduction.

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