LSAT 157 – Section 3 – Question 16

LSAT 157 - Section 3 - Question 16

June 2020

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Question
QuickView		 Type Tags Answer
Choices		 Curve Question
Difficulty		 Psg/Game/S
Difficulty		 Explanation
PT157 S3 Q16
+LR
Most strongly supported +MSS
Principle +Princ
A
6%
149
B
66%
161
C
11%
154
D
5%
147
E
12%
150
138
149
160
 +Medium 145.111 +SubsectionEasier

Future overall demand for professors can be predicted with reasonable accuracy from current birth rates. But the accuracy of predictions of future demand for music professors is lower, and that for jazz studies professors lower still.

Summary
Future overall demand for professors can be predicted with reasonable accuracy using current birth rates. However, accuracy is lower for the future demand of music professors, and even lower for the future demand of jazz studies professors.

Strongly Supported Conclusions
The more general a prediction, the more accurate that prediction is.

A
The more detailed and complete the evidence, the more precise predictions based on that evidence are.
This answer is unsupported. In the stimulus all three predictions for the demand for professors is based on the same data and yet all three predictions have different levels of accuracy.
B
The more general the level of a prediction, the more accurate it is.
This answer is strongly supported. There is an inverse correlation between a prediction’s detail and that prediction’s accuracy. Professors overall accompanied the most accurate prediction, while jazz studies professors specifically accompanied the least accurate prediction.
C
Predicting future trends becomes more difficult as the events those predictions concern become more temporally remote.
This answer is unsupported. The stimulus makes no mention of passage of time. In fact, all three predictions in the stimulus are made from current birth rates.
D
The more detailed and complete the evidence, the more confidence we can have in predictions based on that evidence.
This answer is anti-supported. In the stimulus all three predictions for the demand for professors is based on the same data and yet all three predictions have different levels of accuracy.
E
Predictions based only on general trends are unlikely to be accurate.
This answer is anti-supported. In the stimulus, the prediction regarding future overall demand for professors is reasonably accurate even while being based on general trends in current birth rates.

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LSAT PrepTest 157 Explanations

Section 1 - Reading Comprehension

Section 2 - Logical Reasoning

Section 3 - Logical Reasoning

Section 4 - Reading Comprehension

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