Historian: One traditional childrearing practice in the nineteenth century was to make a child who misbehaved sit alone outside. Anyone passing by would conclude that the child had misbehaved. Nowadays, many child psychologists would disapprove of this practice because they believe that such practices damage the child’s self-esteem and that damage to children’s self-esteem makes them less confident as adults. However, no one disagrees that adults raised under that traditional practice were, on average, as confident as adults not so raised.

Summary

It was once traditional to make misbehaved children sit alone outside, and passersby would know they had misbehaved.

Many child psychologists don’t endorse this practice based on two beliefs: (1) that it damages children’s self-esteem; and (2) that damage to children’s self-esteem makes them less confident as adults.

Children raised with the traditional practice do not tend to have lower confidence levels than adults who never underwent this practice.

Very Strongly Supported Conclusions

Either the traditional practice didn’t tend to damage children’s self-esteem, or childhood self-esteem damage doesn’t harm adult confidence.

If the traditional practice damaged children’s self-esteem, childhood self-esteem damage doesn’t tend to harm adult confidence.

If childhood self-esteem damage harms adult confidence, the traditional practice didn’t tend to damage children’s self-esteem.

A
The beliefs of many present-day child psychologists about the consequences of loss of self-esteem are incorrect.

Unsupported. It’s possible that the child psychologists are wrong to believe that self-esteem loss leads to lowered confidence, but it’s also possible that the childrearing practice in question actually didn’t tend to cause self-esteem loss.

B
Some of the most confident adults, as well as some of the least confident adults, were raised under the traditional practice in question.

Unsupported. The stimulus only mentions average confidence levels, which tells us nothing about the margins. Maybe the most and least confident adults weren’t raised under the practice and the mid-confidence adults were, averaging out to the same confidence level in both groups.

C
With the traditional childrearing practice, passersby did not always make correct inferences about children’s behavior by observing them outdoors.

Anti-supported. We know that the children were made to sit outside because they misbehaved, and we also know that anyone passing by would conclude that the children sitting outside had misbehaved. Therefore, everyone passing by would make the correct inference!

D
The most confident adults are those who developed the highest level of self-esteem in childhood.

Unsupported. We know many psychologists think that childhood self-esteem loss leads to lower adult confidence, but we don’t know if that’s true. We also don’t know whether high self-esteem correlates with high confidence levels, or even if child psychologists believe it might!

E
If children’s loss of self-esteem makes them less confident as adults, then the traditional childrearing practice in question did not tend to cause significant loss of self-esteem.

Strongly supported. Since adults raised with the practice tend to be as confident as other adults, one of the psychologists’ claims must be wrong: either self-esteem loss doesn’t make children less confident as adults, or the practice didn’t tend to cause self-esteem loss.


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Franklin: The only clue I have as to the identity of the practical joker is the handwriting on the note. Ordinarily I would suspect Miller, who has always been jealous of me, but the handwriting is not hers. So the joker is apparently someone else.

Summarize Argument
The author hypothesizes that the practical joker must be someone besides Miller. This is because the only clue about the identity of the practical joker is the handwriting on the note, and the handwriting isn’t Miller’s.

Identify and Describe Flaw
The author overlooks the possibility that Miller could have been the practical joker and enlisted someone else to write the note. The correct answer should relate to why Miller could have been the practical joker despite the handwriting not being hers.

A
It fails to consider the possibility that there was more than one practical joker.
If there were more than one practical joker, then Miller could have been one of them and someone else could have written the note. This possibility undermines the argument, and the author fails to consider it.
B
It fails to indicate the degree to which handwriting samples should look alike in order to be considered of the same source.
We already know that the handwriting is not Miller’s. This is a premise we accept. The exact degree of difference between Miller’s handwriting and the handwriting on the note therefore doesn’t matter.
C
It provides no explanation for why Miller should be the prime suspect.
The author’s conclusion is simply that the joker is not Miller. Why Miller was initially suspected doesn’t relate to whether or not Miller is the joker based on the handwriting sample.
D
It provides no explanation for why only one piece of evidence was obtained.
The author doesn’t need to explain why only one piece of evidence was obtained. The author is allowed to make an argument based on whatever evidence is available.
E
It takes for granted that if the handwriting on the note had been Miller’s, then the identity of the joker would have been ascertained to be Miller.
This confuses sufficient and necessary conditions. The author assumes that if the handwriting isn’t Miller’s, then Miller is not the joker. But this doesn’t imply that if the handwriting were Miller’s, it would prove Miller was the joker.

Question Stem
This is a Flaw or Descriptive Weakening question. The key words in the question stem are "grounds for criticizing... reasoning."

Foundational Skills
Phenomenon-hypothesis
Contrapositive
False positive v. false negative

Stimulus
The question is hard because the correct answer (A) is stating something implied by what you might have anticipated while (B) brings up a novel though irrelevant consideration and (E) masquerades as an assumption that you might have spotted.

Someone played a practical joke on Franklin. He doesn't know who did it though he suspects Miller because Miller "has always been jealous of me." Okay, that's motive. But what evidence does he have? Just one piece: a handwritten note where the handwriting does not match Miller's.

So, what conclusion can we draw? Well, you and I are thinking, it's unclear. The fact (phenomenon) that the handwriting doesn't match Miller's could be explained by a number of hypotheses:

1. It was Miller and she disguised her handwriting.
2. It was Miller and an unwitting accomplice wrote the note.
3. It was Miller and she had a willing co-conspirator write the note.
4. It was not Miller.

Franklin jumps to hypothesis (4) as the explanation. He assumes that if the handwriting doesn't match Miller's, then Miller didn't do it. Hypotheses (1) - (3) reveal why that assumption is problematic. It could be the case that the handwriting doesn't match Miller's and (yet) it is still Miller who did it.

Now that we've identified the issue with this argument both using the framework of assumptions and alternative hypotheses, we now can think about how to "criticize Franklin's reasoning."

At a very abstract and general level, we could say something like "It (Franklin's reasoning) fails to consider alternative hypotheses." That would capture hypotheses (1) through (3). That could be a correct answer, if all the other answers are bad. But the correct answer could also be (and in fact turns out to be) more specific.

Answer Choice (A)
(A) says that Franklin's reasoning "fails to consider the possibility that there was more than one practical joker." On first blush, you might think that this is merely descriptively accurate yet doesn't get to the weakness in the reasoning. True, you think, Franklin did not consider that this could have been a conspiracy (a plot involving more than one person). But how many people involved is not the issue. The issue is the identity of those involved.

Ah, but the number of people involved is related to the identity of those involved. Why did Franklin write off Miller? Precisely because he didn't consider that Miller could have had an accomplice, that there could have been more than one practical joker.

Do you see how the test writers made (A) subtle? They could have said "It fails to consider the possibility that Miller had an accomplice." That would have been the blunt and obvious way to state the weakness in Franklin's reasoning. But they didn't. Instead they stated something implied by the blunt version of the hypothesis. If it's true that Miller had an accomplice, then it must be true that there was more than one practical joker.

Answer Choice (B)
(B) says that Franklin's reasoning "fails to indicate the degree to which handwriting samples should look alike in order to be considered of the same source." This is true. It's descriptively accurate. Franklin merely asserts "the handwriting is not hers" without providing any reason for us to believe that assertion, e.g. just how closely must the curve on an "r" match or what angles of "v" or "w" are considered close enough?

All true. But, notice that that assertion "the handwriting is not hers" is being used as a premise. And as a rule of thumb, premises get the benefit of the presumption of truth. If Franklin asserts it, then, unless we have reasons to doubt him, we accept it as true. (B) is asking us to question this premise.

If we were detectives and if this were an actual investigation or criminal trial, then, yeah, this assertion absolutely would come under attack: we'd get experts to explain their methodology and testify so we can ascertain whether to believe Franklin's assertion that "the handwriting is not hers." But, we're doing an LR question. We're just being asked to "criticize Franklin's reasoning" and the rule of thumb is that you do not attack premises. Plus, as we already saw in the stimulus analysis, even granting Franklin the truth of this premise still leaves his argument vulnerable because the issue isn't in this premise. The issue is in the support relationship between this premise and the conclusion.

Answer Choice (C)
(C) says that no explanation was provided for why Miller should be the prime suspect. This is false. It's descriptively inaccurate. Franklin does give an explanation. He says that Miller "has always been jealous" of him. Now, you might think that's a weak motive, but that doesn't change the fact that Franklin gave an explanation. You're just judging that explanation as insufficient. No explanation is different from an explanation that you don't believe.

Answer Choice (D)
(D) says that no explanation was provided for why only one piece of evidence was obtained. This is true, it's descriptively accurate. Franklin did not explain why there isn't more evidence. But so what. From the sole existing piece of evidence Franklin drew a conclusion. That reasoning is present and weak. Our job is to attack that reasoning. That's it. It's not to ask questions that would have been relevant had we been actually investigating this case. Had we been actual detectives actually trying to solve the case, then yeah, we wonder why there was just one piece of evidence.

If you chose (D), you might have been thinking that Franklin's argument is weak because there was only one piece of evidence provided. That is true. But that's not what (D) says. In order to capture your justified concern, (D) should have said something like "It draws a conclusion unsupported by the only piece of evidence available."

Answer Choice (E)
(E) says that Franklin's reasoning "takes for granted" which is just "assumes" that - and here comes the conditional - "if the handwriting on the note had been Miller's, then the identity of the joker would have been ascertained to be Miller:"

match → Miller

(E) is testing your conditional logic with a classic sufficiency-necessity confusion. It also helps if you're familiar with the distinction between false positives and false negatives.

We figured out that Franklin does "take for granted" that if the handwriting didn't match Miller's, then Miller didn't do it:

/match → /Miller

What's the contrapositive of that? If Miller did it, then the handwriting would have matched:

Miller → match

(E)'s match → Miller is just not the same as Miller → match. You don't want to confuse sufficiency for necessity because, well, they're different. In the context of using a test result to determine identity, here's why they are different.

Let's stipulate that the handwriting analysis test that Franklin used was one that contains high false positives but low false negatives.

A false positive is when the test says "match!" but it should not have. The positive result ("match!") was false. Like if a doctor pronounced a man "pregnant!" That's a false positive. Or if a DNA analysis said "match!" but it shouldn't have because there was an error. We'd be rightly suspicious of positive results from tests that contain high rates of false positive. "Sure, test, you say it matches, but you always say that. I don't believe you."

But don't confuse that for when the test gives you negative results. The test could be highly reliable for negative results even if it's unreliable for positive results.

What's a false negative? It's when a test says "no match!" but it should have matched. The negative result was false. Like if a doctor pronounced an obviously 8 month pregnant woman "Not pregnant! Just lay off the chips." That's a false negative. Or if a DNA analysis said "no match!" but it should have said "match!" instead.

Since we stipulated that our handwriting analysis test contains few false negatives, we don't have these concerns. That means whenever the test says "no match," we should believe it. Truly there is no match.

That means it's reasonable to hold the position that /match → /Miller while rejecting the position that match → Miller. The two positions are not the same. The first position requires a test with low false negatives. The second position requires a test with low false positives.


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Drama critic: Audiences will enjoy Warner’s latest play, about the disintegration of a family, because of the superb acting. The chemistry between the actors could not be more intense, and Ziegler, who plays the child, captures convincingly the guilt and despair experienced as the family members grow more estranged from each other.

Summarize Argument
The drama critic concludes that audiences will enjoy Warner’s latest play about the disintegration of a family. Her support for this claim about audience enjoyment is based on the high quality acting. She references two aspects of the acting: the intense chemistry between actors, and Ziegler’s representation of the guilt and despair of the family.

Notable Assumptions
In this argument, the critic only discusses one aspect of the play (acting quality) and based on only that, concludes that audiences will enjoy the play. The critic assumes that the play isn’t missing some other aspect, like a strong plot, that is important for audience enjoyment. The critic also assumes that intense chemistry and convincing representations of guilt and despair are enough to demonstrate superb acting.

A
Generally, audiences enjoy romantic comedies but find tragedies upsetting.
This weakens the argument because it gives a reason that audiences may not enjoy the play, even if the play has strong acting. If audiences generally find tragedies upsetting, they may not enjoy the tragic aspects of Warner’s play, thus weakening the argument.
B
The company staging the play has an unbroken history of dull performances.
This weakens the argument because it introduces information that indicates that audiences may find the play dull. Audiences probably won’t enjoy a play that they find dull, so this weakens the argument.
C
Insiders with the company staging the play have condemned Ziegler’s performance as unexciting.
While Ziegler may convincingly capture guilt and despair, Ziegler could be doing so in a way that is unexciting. Even if a performance is convincing, if it is unexciting, audiences probably won’t enjoy it.
D
The plot of the play is similar in some respects to plots of Warner’s other works.
We don’t know if audiences enjoyed the plots of Warner’s other works, so this information does nothing for the claim about audience enjoyment for this latest play.
E
Audiences usually find drama critics’ reviews unreliable.
This gives reason to doubt the drama critic’s ability to predict how audiences will receive a play. The drama critic may find the acting superb, but if (E) is true, the drama critic’s opinion isn’t indicative of how audiences will react.

27 comments

Some people believe that good health is due to luck. However, studies from many countries indicate a strong correlation between good health and high educational levels. Thus research supports the view that good health is largely the result of making informed lifestyle choices.

Summarize Argument: Counter-Position
The author concludes that good health is largely the result of making informed lifestyle choices. This is based on the fact that studies from many countries show a strong correlation between good health and high educational levels.

Identify and Describe Flaw
The author assumes that the correlation between good health and high educational levels is due to high education levels tending to cause good health. This overlooks the possibility that there’s an alternate cause that leads to both good health and high educational levels. This also overlooks the possibility that having good health improves one’s ability to seek higher education. The author also assumes that there’s an association between high education levels and making more informed lifestyle choices.

A
presumes, without providing justification, that only highly educated people make informed lifestyle choices
Although the author does assume that higher educational levels are indicative of a higher likelihood of making informed lifestyle choices, that doesn’t mean he thinks “only” those with higher education make informed lifestyle choices.
B
overlooks the possibility that people who make informed lifestyle choices may nonetheless suffer from inherited diseases
The author never suggests that people who make informed lifestyle choices will never have health problems. So, the possibility that they might have inherited diseases doesn’t undermine the reasoning.
C
presumes, without providing justification, that informed lifestyle choices are available to everyone
The author does not assume everyone can make informed lifestyle choices. The argument simply concerns the cause of good health. Even if some people aren’t able to engage in the behaviors that the author thinks leads to good health, that doesn’t undermine the author’s reasoning.
D
overlooks the possibility that the same thing may causally contribute both to education and to good health
The author overlooks the possibility that the correlation between good health and education is due to a thing that causes both good health and education (such wealth or genetics). This shows there doesn’t have to be a causal relationship between education and good health.
E
does not acknowledge that some people who fail to make informed lifestyle choices are in good health
The author assumes there is a causal relationship between informed choices and being in good health, but that doesn’t commit the author to believing this is the only cause of good health. The fact some people who make bad choices are healthy does not hurt the argument.

27 comments