LSAT 14 – Section 4 – Question 22

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February 1995

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Question QuickView	Type	Tags	Answer Choices	Curve This gives you an idea of how this question is “curved”— in other words, what level of scorer is likely to get this question right. It shows a model of scaled LSAT score vs probability of getting the question correct. It is based on student test results for each question. The gray bar extends from the score for a 25% chance, to the score for a 75% chance of getting the question correct. The black line in the middle is the score for a 50% chance of getting the question correct. The percentage at the right is the expected chance of someone with the same score as you on that PrepTest getting that question correct	Question Difficulty	Psg/Game/S Difficulty	Explanation

Question QuickView	Type	Tags	Answer Choices	Curve This gives you an idea of how this question is “curved”— in other words, what level of scorer is likely to get this question right. It shows a model of scaled LSAT score vs probability of getting the question correct. It is based on student test results for each question. The gray bar extends from the score for a 25% chance, to the score for a 75% chance of getting the question correct. The black line in the middle is the score for a 50% chance of getting the question correct. The percentage at the right is the expected chance of someone with the same score as you on that PrepTest getting that question correct	Question Difficulty	Psg/Game/S Difficulty	Explanation
PT14 S4 Q22	+LR	Weaken +Weak	A 89% 165 B 2% 156 C 3% 156 D 4% 156 E 2% 159	140 148 155	+Medium	148.739 +SubsectionMedium

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This is a weakening question, as the question stem asks: Which one of the following, if true, casts the most doubt on the accuracy of the above conclusion?

This stimulus is placed in quotes without an identified speaker, but this doesn’t really matter beyond allowing some of the referential phrasing such as this company. It begins with the context that the speaker’s company will not be training more pilots, as they have a waitlist of 400 trained pilots. Alright, that kind of makes sense. This decision is then supported by an argument.

The argument begins with the premise that the five other major companies have roughly ~ 400 pilots as well. The stimulus continues with another premise with the support indicator since, stating that each company is going to only need roughly ~100 pilots. From these two premises about the company waitlists and personnel needs, the author concludes that there will be no shortage of personnel. The assumption this argument depends on is that the individuals waitlisted for each company are distinct. Since each company requires about ~100 people and there are 5 companies, around ~500 pilots are needed by the major companies. For the argument to conclude that there are enough trained pilots to avoid a shortage, it must assume that it isn’t the same 400 pilots waitlisted for each company, as in that case there would actually already be a shortage brewing since there are ~100 less pilots than needed. An answer which picks up on this assumption and contradicts it will be an excellent weakening answer. Let’s see what we get:

Correct Answer Choice (A) This does exactly what we identified with our pre-phrase, it directly contradicts the arguments assumption that there isn’t significant overlap between the waitlists.

Answer Choice (B) Our author’s argument is specifically about the forseeable future, the argument’s conclusion is not about whether or not training will be needed in the long run.

Answer Choice (C) Ok? Our author’s conclusion is a prediction that there will be no shortage in the foreseeable future; whether or not there will be an age gap does nothing to weaken the argument.

Answer Choice (D) If anything this strengthens the argument by supporting the accuracy of the author’s claims.

Answer Choice (E) If other companies are training more pilots, that strengthens the author’s prediction that there won’t be a shortage.

LSAT 14 – Section 4 – Question 22

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LSAT PrepTest 14 Explanations

Section 1 - Logic Games

Section 2 - Logical Reasoning

Section 3 - Reading Comprehension

Section 4 - Logical Reasoning

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